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Chagrin Falls Tigers (7-9)

Region: OH 2 Reg 1

State: OH

Coach: Brad Jones

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/09	WESTLAKE (11-4)	OH 2 Reg 1	85.8		L	10-	11	ot	-0.325
4/14	KENSTON (12-4)	OH 4 North	81.9		W	14-	6		0.125
4/18	at West Geauga (3-11)	OH 2 Reg 1	78.0		W	16-	5		0.075
4/22	at Walsh Jesuit (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 2	88.4	6	L	9-	11		-0.125
4/25	ROCKY RIVER (8-10)	OH 2 Reg 1	83.2		W	15-	7		0.100
4/29	ARCHBISHOP HOBAN (8-6)	OH 2 Reg 2	86.3	9	L	10-	15		-0.250
5/02	UNIVERSITY SCHOOL (17-4)	OH 2 Reg 1	93.0	1	L	3-	13		-0.075
5/06	at Shaker Heights (4-11)	OH 1 Reg 3	86.5		L	7-	10		-0.175
5/08	MENTOR (4-10)	OH 1 Reg 3	81.9		W	13-	2		0.125
5/10	at Green-Akron (8-10)	OH 2 Reg 2	81.6		W	13-	5		0.150
5/13	at Hawken School (8-10)	OH 2 Reg 2	85.9		L	12-	17		-0.150
5/16	GILMOUR ACADEMY (9-10)	OH 2 Reg 1	85.1		L	10-	11		-0.300
5/20	CLEVELAND HEIGHTS (4-12)	OH 1 Reg 3	85.1		W	10-	4		0.200
5/23	at Solon (13-4)	OH 2 Reg 2	90.4	3	L	7-	13		-0.100
5/27	at Westlake (11-4)	OH 2 Reg 1	85.8		W	11-	8		0.250
5/29	at St Francis de Sales (12-6)	OH 2 Reg 1	87.0	8	L	10-	12		-0.175
			82.6						-0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	H	Westlake	10-	11	-1	3	––	-1.74	-4.48
4/14	H	Kenston	14-	6	8	5	+	-1.74		2.79
4/18	A	West Geauga	16-	5	11	7	+	1.74	3.62
4/22	A	Walsh Jesuit	9-	11	-2	-5	+	1.74	3.27
4/25	H	Rocky River	15-	7	8	6		-1.74	1.98
4/29	H	Archbishop Hoban	10-	15	-5	0	––	-1.74	-5.37
5/02	H	University School	3-	13	-10	-7	–	-1.74	-2.73
5/06	A	Shaker Heights	7-	10	-3	-3		1.51		-0.44
5/08	H	Mentor	13-	2	11	5	++	-1.51		5.97
5/10	A	Green-Akron	13-	5	8	4	++	1.74	4.31
5/13	A	Hawken School	12-	17	-5	-4		1.74	-0.68
5/16	H	Gilmour Academy	10-	11	-1	2	–	-1.74	-3.30
5/20	H	Cleveland Heights	10-	4	6	2	++	-1.51		4.13
5/23	A	Solon	7-	13	-6	-6		1.74	-0.23
5/27	A	Westlake	11-	8	3	0	+	1.74	3.01
5/29	A	St Francis de Sales	10-	12	-2	-3		1.74	0.61
									0.00	12.45

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	A	West Geauga	16-	5	-1.00
5/02	H	University School	3-	13	0.00
5/08	H	Mentor	13-	2	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1271
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.42		Natl Power Rank	1271
Natl SOS Rating	71.63		Natl SOS Rank	1312
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	2542
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1642
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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