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Strength of Schedule

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Choate Wild Boars (7-8)

Conference: FND

Region: NE 1 West

State: CT

Coach: Mike King

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	LAWRENCEVILLE (17-2)	NJ Private	99.6		L	11-	14		-0.075
4/02	NORTHFIELD MT HERMON (5-11)	NE 1 West	91.3	10	W	10-	5		0.225
4/05	at Kent School (7-9)	NE 1 West	91.3		W	7-	5		0.250
4/09	WESTMINSTER SCHOOL (7-7)	NE 1 West	92.5	8	W	9-	8		0.275
4/12	DEERFIELD (15-1)	NE 1 West	99.2	1	L	7-	12		-0.100
4/16	KINGSWOOD-OXFORD (12-7)	NE 2 FAA	88.5		W	11-	4		0.150
4/19	at Avon Old Farms (11-5)	NE 1 West	95.4	6	L	4-	9		-0.175
4/23	TAFT SCHOOL (4-10)	NE 1 West	90.3		L	3-	5		-0.275
4/30	at Brunswick School (8-8)	NE 1 West	93.6	7	W	13-	11		0.325
5/03	at St Luke's (10-7)	NE 2 FAA	87.2		W	11-	2		0.125
5/07	at Trinity-Pawling (14-2)	NE 1 West	98.7	2	L	6-	14		-0.100
5/10	HOTCHKISS (7-6)	NE 1 West	95.5	5	L	5-	9		-0.150
5/14	at Loomis Chaffee (11-5)	NE 1 West	96.4	4	L	4-	10		-0.150
5/17	PHILLIPS ANDOVER (10-5)	NE East-1	95.7		W	9-	4		0.325
5/21	at Salisbury School (12-4)	NE 1 West	97.7	3	L	5-	16		-0.100
			94.6						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Lawrenceville	11-	14	-3	-7	+	-0.84		3.54
4/02	H	Northfield Mt Hermon	10-	5	5	1	++	-0.32	4.42
4/05	A	Kent School	7-	5	2	0		0.32	1.82
4/09	H	Westminster School	9-	8	1	-1		-0.32	1.86
4/12	H	Deerfield	7-	12	-5	-6		-0.32	1.01
4/16	H	Kingswood-Oxford	11-	4	7	4	+	-0.16		3.21
4/19	A	Avon Old Farms	4-	9	-5	-3		0.32	-1.62
4/23	H	Taft School	3-	5	-2	1	–	-0.32	-2.93
4/30	A	Brunswick School	13-	11	2	-3	++	0.32	4.68
5/03	A	St Luke's	11-	2	9	5	++	0.16		4.16
5/07	A	Trinity-Pawling	6-	14	-8	-6	–	0.32	-2.34
5/10	H	Hotchkiss	5-	9	-4	-4		-0.32	-0.01
5/14	A	Loomis Chaffee	4-	10	-6	-4	–	0.32	-2.32
5/17	H	Phillips Andover	9-	4	5	-3	+++	-0.33		8.23
5/21	A	Salisbury School	5-	16	-11	-6	––	0.32	-4.57
									0.00	19.13

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/21	A	Salisbury School	5-	16	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	496
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.17		Natl Power Rank	496
Natl SOS Rating	97.38		Natl SOS Rank	7
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	595
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1501
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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