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Chaparral Firebirds (11-7)

Region: AZ 1 SouthState: AZCoach: John Silkey

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
2/12at Highland (0-13)AZ 1 North73.910W17- 5 0.025  
2/22at Desert Vista (3-10)AZ 1 North80.18W11- 6 0.125  
2/26BROPHY PREP (17-4)AZ 1 North93.81L6-10 -0.150  
2/28MOUNTAIN POINTE (10-5)AZ 1 North87.92W8- 7 0.250  
3/01SAGUARO (9-7)AZ 1 South85.96W11- 9 0.225  
3/07at Gilbert (1-12)AZ 1 South74.89W13- 5 0.000  
3/11CHANDLER (12-7)AZ 1 South87.73W9- 8 0.250  
3/19at Corona del Sol (8-6)AZ 1 South86.35W7- 5 0.225  
3/25DUBLIN JEROME (14-6)OH 1 Reg 296.9L4- 8 -0.025  
3/28GILBERT (1-12)AZ 1 South74.89W18- 6 0.000  
3/31at Desert Mountain (6-9)AZ 1 North84.07L7- 8 -0.300  
4/01ST FRANCIS XAVIER (1-2)CN FarWest79.2W11- 5 0.000  
4/04CORONA DEL SOL (8-6)AZ 1 South86.35L4- 7 -0.275  
4/08at Chandler (12-7)AZ 1 South87.73L3-10 -0.250  
4/11at Saguaro (9-7)AZ 1 South85.96L9-10 -0.250  
4/15SAGUARO (9-7)AZ 1 South85.96W9- 6 0.225  
4/19CHANDLER (12-7)AZ 1 South87.73W8- 3 0.250  
4/26BROPHY PREP (17-4)AZ 1 North93.81L8- 9 -0.150  
 87.3     0.18  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/12AHighland17-512   9       +0.17       2.55
2/22ADesert Vista11-65   5       0.17       -0.03
2/26HBrophy Prep6-10-4   -4       -0.17       -0.17
2/28HMountain Pointe8-71   0       -0.17       0.78
3/01HSaguaro11-92   1       -0.17       1.42
3/07AGilbert13-58   11       0.17       -2.74
3/11HChandler9-81   0       -0.17       1.07
3/19ACorona del Sol7-52   1       0.17       0.99
3/25HDublin Jerome4-8-4   -9       ++-0.72       4.59
3/28HGilbert18-612   11       -0.17       0.92
3/31ADesert Mountain7-8-1   2       0.17       -2.94
4/01HSt Francis Xavier11-56   10       -1.07       -3.53
4/04HCorona del Sol4-7-3   1       ––-0.17       -4.35
4/08AChandler3-10-7   0       –––0.17       -6.59
4/11ASaguaro9-10-1   0       0.17       -1.23
4/15HSaguaro9-63   1       +-0.17       2.42
4/19HChandler8-35   0       ++-0.17       5.07
4/26HBrophy Prep8-9-1   -4       +-0.17       2.83
         0.001.06

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/12AHighland17-5-2.00
3/28HGilbert18-6-0.92
10-goal correction: -0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 88.   Natl CCR Rank 984
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.61   Natl Power Rank 984
Natl SOS Rating 81.46   Natl SOS Rank 428
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.18   Natl Quality Win Rank 1097
W-L Pct Rating 0.61   W-L Pct Rank 886
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -0.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 2.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.3



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