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Churchill Bulldogs (10-4)

Region: MD 43 West

State: MD

Coach: Jeff Fritz

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	POOLESVILLE (9-4)	MD 21 West	84.8		W	16-	5		0.025
4/03	at Seneca Valley (6-8)	MD 32 West	81.0		W	10-	4		0.000
4/07	WOOTTON (16-2)	MD 43 West	95.8	7	L	7-	11		-0.175
4/09	at Magruder (5-8)	MD 43 North	80.2		W	13-	2		0.000
4/11	RICHARD MONTGOMERY (4-9)	MD 43 North	77.5		W	15-	2		0.000
4/17	at Walter Johnson (10-5)	MD 43 West	91.1		W	10-	9	ot	0.250
4/19	BETHESDA/CHEVY CHASE (14-3)	MD 43 West	94.3		L	4-	8		-0.250
4/22	at Whitman (8-6)	MD 43 West	89.2		W	11-	7		0.175
4/25	at Sherwood (8-6)	MD 43 West	88.4		W	7-	5		0.175
4/29	SPRINGBROOK (6-8)	MD 43 West	82.8		W	13-	2		0.000
5/02	GAITHERSBURG (14-3)	MD 43 North	94.2		L	9-	10		-0.250
5/06	at Quince Orchard (8-7)	MD 43 North	89.7		W	9-	3		0.250
5/10	SHERWOOD (8-6)	MD 43 West	88.4		W	15-	11		0.150
5/13	at Bethesda/Chevy Chase (14-3)	MD 43 West	94.3		L	7-	8	ot	-0.200
			82.9						0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Poolesville	16-	5	11	9	+	-0.93	2.04
4/03	A	Seneca Valley	10-	4	6	10	––	0.93	-4.25
4/07	H	Wootton	7-	11	-4	-3		-0.93	-0.60
4/09	A	Magruder	13-	2	11	11		0.93	0.13
4/11	H	Richard Montgomery	15-	2	13	14		-0.93	-1.19
4/17	A	Walter Johnson	10-	9	1	0		0.93	1.47
4/19	H	Bethesda/Chevy Chase	4-	8	-4	0	––	-0.93	-4.35
4/22	A	Whitman	11-	7	4	3		0.93	1.43
4/25	A	Sherwood	7-	5	2	3		0.93	-0.63
4/29	H	Springbrook	13-	2	11	10		-0.93	1.04
5/02	H	Gaithersburg	9-	10	-1	0		-0.93	-1.15
5/06	A	Quince Orchard	9-	3	6	0	+++	0.93	6.04
5/10	H	Sherwood	15-	11	4	4		-0.93	-0.49
5/13	A	Bethesda/Chevy Chase	7-	8	-1	-2		0.93	0.51
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	H	Poolesville	16-	5	-1.00
4/09	A	Magruder	13-	2	-0.13
4/11	H	Richard Montgomery	15-	2	1.19
4/29	H	Springbrook	13-	2	-1.04
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	423
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.98		Natl Power Rank	423
Natl SOS Rating	72.52		Natl SOS Rank	1208
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1093
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	524
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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