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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Churchill Lancers (13-5)

Region: OR WillimState: ORCoach: Jack Stoddart

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/11at Wilsonville (13-3)OR NoWest92.16L5-12 -0.100  
3/14TIGARD (14-5)OR NorVal89.0L8- 9 -0.250  
3/18SOUTH EUGENE (4-12)OR Willim72.8W15- 0 0.000  
3/19at Elmira (0-14)OR Willim65.9W16- 0 0.000  
4/01at North Eugene (3-14)OR Willim70.7W13- 0 0.000  
4/03MARIST (8-7)OR Willim80.5W18- 5 0.025  
4/08ROSEBURG (7-10)OR Willim79.2W14- 8 0.050  
4/11at Thurston (14-5)OR Willim86.1L6-10 -0.325  
4/15SHELDON (12-5)OR Willim86.6W10- 7 0.175  
4/17at South Eugene (4-12)OR Willim72.8W11- 1 0.000  
4/19at Sunset (16-4)OR Metro93.04L5-10 -0.025  
4/23ELMIRA (0-14)OR Willim65.9W19- 0 0.000  
4/25at Marist (8-7)OR Willim80.5W18- 4 0.075  
4/30NORTH EUGENE (3-14)OR Willim70.7W18- 1 0.000  
5/02at Roseburg (7-10)OR Willim79.2W19- 6 0.075  
5/06THURSTON (14-5)OR Willim86.1W8- 4 0.125  
5/09at Sheldon (12-5)OR Willim86.6W8- 6 0.225  
5/20LINCOLN (20-2)OR Columb95.11L3-12 0.000  
 76.7     0.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11AWilsonville5-12-7   -6       0.83       -1.22
3/14HTigard8-9-1   0       -0.83       -0.97
3/18HSouth Eugene15-015   15       -0.83       -0.10
3/19AElmira16-016   19       0.83       -2.59
4/01ANorth Eugene13-013   16       0.83       -3.33
4/03HMarist18-513   9       ++-0.83       4.13
4/08HRoseburg14-86   8       -0.83       -2.42
4/11AThurston6-10-4   3       –––0.83       -6.86
4/15HSheldon10-73   3       -0.83       0.01
4/17ASouth Eugene11-110   13       0.83       -3.44
4/19ASunset5-10-5   -9       ++0.83       4.10
4/23HElmira19-019   20       -0.83       -1.25
4/25AMarist18-414   7       +++0.83       6.79
4/30HNorth Eugene18-117   18       -0.83       -0.99
5/02ARoseburg19-613   7       +++0.83       6.24
5/06HThurston8-44   5       -0.83       -0.52
5/09ASheldon8-62   1       0.83       0.67
5/20HLincoln3-12-9   -11       -0.83       1.76
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/18HSouth Eugene15-00.10
3/19AElmira16-02.59
4/01ANorth Eugene13-03.33
4/03HMarist18-5-3.00
4/17ASouth Eugene11-13.44
4/23HElmira19-01.25
4/25AMarist18-4-4.00
4/30HNorth Eugene18-10.99
5/02ARoseburg19-6-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 88.   Natl CCR Rank 927
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 88.21   Natl Power Rank 927
Natl SOS Rating 62.43   Natl SOS Rank 2213
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 1259
W-L Pct Rating 0.72   W-L Pct Rank 510
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -2.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.0



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