| Conference: D1 | Region: CA DFAL | State: CA | Coach: Andrew Welch |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/22 | CLAYTON VALLEY (12-9) | CA BayShor | 85.4 | | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.175 |
2/26 | TAMALPAIS (7-12) | CA Marin | 84.8 | | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.125 |
2/28 | CULVER CITY (6-10) | CA So-Bay | 80.8 | | L | 8- | 16 | | -0.275 |
3/01 | at Scotts Valley (16-2) | CA SCCAL | 87.2 | | L | 1- | 6 | | -0.150 |
3/01 | at Watsonville (7-10) | CA SCCAL | 75.3 | | W | 4- | 1 | | 0.175 |
3/04 | at Davis (11-6) | CA BayShor | 90.5 | | L | 6- | 11 | | 0.000 |
3/11 | GRANITE BAY (16-4) | CA SanJoq | 90.3 | | L | 8- | 12 | | -0.050 |
3/14 | NORTHGATE (3-12) | CA DFAL | 71.8 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.075 |
3/18 | ACALANES (14-6) | CA DFAL | 91.5 | | L | 2- | 16 | | 0.000 |
3/21 | at Dublin (4-14) | CA DFAL | 76.5 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.225 |
3/25 | LAS LOMAS (9-9) | CA DFAL | 85.5 | | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.150 |
3/28 | OAK RIDGE (10-7) | CA SanJoq | 87.9 | | L | 1- | 14 | | -0.100 |
4/08 | at College Park (4-13) | CA DFAL | 74.8 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.175 |
4/11 | at Alhambra (0-11) | CA DFAL | 63.5 | | W | 16- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/15 | at Miramonte (18-4) | CA DFAL | 93.7 | 4 | L | 2- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/18 | at Acalanes (14-6) | CA DFAL | 91.5 | | L | 1- | 19 | | 0.000 |
4/22 | DUBLIN (4-14) | CA DFAL | 76.5 | | W | 17- | 10 | | 0.175 |
4/25 | at Northgate (3-12) | CA DFAL | 71.8 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.100 |
4/29 | at Las Lomas (9-9) | CA DFAL | 85.5 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.125 |
5/02 | COLLEGE PARK (4-13) | CA DFAL | 74.8 | | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.150 |
5/06 | ALHAMBRA (0-11) | CA DFAL | 63.5 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | MIRAMONTE (18-4) | CA DFAL | 93.7 | 4 | L | 3- | 17 | | 0.000 |
| | 76.3 | | | | | | -0.08 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/22 | H | Clayton Valley | 9- | 10 | -1 | -3 | + | -0.66 | 2.39 | |
2/26 | H | Tamalpais | 6- | 10 | -4 | -5 | | -0.66 | 0.54 | |
2/28 | H | Culver City | 8- | 16 | -8 | 1 | ––– | -0.93 | | -8.87 |
3/01 | A | Scotts Valley | 1- | 6 | -5 | -4 | | 0.66 | -1.25 | |
3/01 | A | Watsonville | 4- | 1 | 3 | 3 | | 0.66 | 0.18 | |
3/04 | A | Davis | 6- | 11 | -5 | -10 | ++ | 0.66 | 4.81 | |
3/11 | H | Granite Bay | 8- | 12 | -4 | -8 | + | -0.66 | 3.70 | |
3/14 | H | Northgate | 9- | 5 | 4 | 7 | – | -0.66 | -3.06 | |
3/18 | H | Acalanes | 2- | 16 | -14 | -11 | – | -0.66 | -3.11 | |
3/21 | A | Dublin | 12- | 5 | 7 | 1 | ++ | 0.66 | 5.57 | |
3/25 | H | Las Lomas | 5- | 9 | -4 | -4 | | -0.66 | -0.46 | |
3/28 | H | Oak Ridge | 1- | 14 | -13 | -6 | ––– | -0.66 | -6.54 | |
4/08 | A | College Park | 10- | 5 | 5 | 3 | + | 0.66 | 2.37 | |
4/11 | A | Alhambra | 16- | 0 | 16 | 14 | | 0.66 | 1.83 | |
4/15 | A | Miramonte | 2- | 16 | -14 | -15 | | 0.66 | 1.12 | |
4/18 | A | Acalanes | 1- | 19 | -18 | -12 | –– | 0.66 | -5.79 | |
4/22 | H | Dublin | 17- | 10 | 7 | 3 | ++ | -0.66 | 4.25 | |
4/25 | A | Northgate | 12- | 5 | 7 | 6 | | 0.66 | 1.25 | |
4/29 | A | Las Lomas | 4- | 10 | -6 | -5 | | 0.66 | -1.15 | |
5/02 | H | College Park | 7- | 5 | 2 | 4 | | -0.66 | -1.95 | |
5/06 | H | Alhambra | 14- | 3 | 11 | 15 | –– | -0.66 | -4.49 | |
5/08 | H | Miramonte | 3- | 17 | -14 | -14 | | -0.66 | -0.19 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -8.87 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/18 | H | Acalanes | 2- | 16 | 3.11 |
3/28 | H | Oak Ridge | 1- | 14 | 3.00 |
4/11 | A | Alhambra | 16- | 0 | -1.83 |
4/15 | A | Miramonte | 2- | 16 | -1.12 |
4/18 | A | Acalanes | 1- | 19 | 5.79 |
5/06 | H | Alhambra | 14- | 3 | 4.49 |
5/08 | H | Miramonte | 3- | 17 | 0.19 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.62 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 81. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1740 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 80.72 | | Natl Power Rank | 1740 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 61.39 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2290 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.08 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1609 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.41 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1761 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-13 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -11.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.3 |
|
