| Region: MD 43 South | State: MD | Coach: Andy Gerard |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/22 | GREAT MILLS (2-13) | MD 43 East | 75.0 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/22 | EASTERN TECH (13-5) | MD 21 North | 93.7 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.175 |
3/25 | RIVER HILL (7-7) | MD 32 South | 91.3 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.150 |
3/28 | at Paul VI (12-9) | DC WCAC | 89.0 | | L | 4- | 7 | | -0.350 |
3/29 | vs. Cardinal Gibbons # (16-5) | NC 3A/2A | 87.9 | | L | 3- | 4 | 2ot | -0.400 |
4/02 | vs. Bel Air # (6-6) | MD 32 North | 91.6 | | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.325 |
4/04 | at North Harford (3-12) | MD 32 North | 86.6 | | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.100 |
4/07 | at Joppatowne (13-4) | MD 21 South | 90.2 | | W | 10- | 2 | | 0.125 |
4/11 | at Fallston (12-4) | MD 32 North | 95.1 | | L | 7- | 8 | 3ot | -0.175 |
4/14 | HEREFORD (15-2) | MD 32 North | 97.2 | 3 | L | 8- | 17 | | -0.150 |
4/18 | BEL AIR (6-6) | MD 32 North | 91.6 | | W | 16- | 6 | | 0.150 |
4/23 | NORTH HARFORD (3-12) | MD 32 North | 86.6 | | W | 9- | 8 | ot | 0.050 |
4/26 | vs. Westminster # (11-5) | MD 43 North | 94.8 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.300 |
4/30 | FALLSTON (12-4) | MD 32 North | 95.1 | | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.275 |
5/08 | PERRY HALL (4-8) | MD 43 South | 85.4 | | W | 20- | 10 | | 0.025 |
5/12 | at Kenwood (13-2) | MD 43 South | 85.5 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/13 | at Catonsville (12-5) | MD 43 South | 95.6 | 8 | L | 13- | 14 | | -0.150 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.3 | | | | | | -0.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | H | Great Mills | 18- | 1 | 17 | 19 | | -0.93 | -1.92 | |
3/22 | H | Eastern Tech | 9- | 6 | 3 | 3 | | -0.93 | -0.33 | |
3/25 | H | River Hill | 6- | 5 | 1 | 4 | – | -0.93 | -2.84 | |
3/28 | A | Paul VI | 4- | 7 | -3 | 4 | ––– | 1.33 | | -6.66 |
3/29 | N | Cardinal Gibbons | 3- | 4 | -1 | 6 | ––– | 0.00 | | -7.08 |
4/02 | N | Bel Air | 8- | 10 | -2 | 3 | –– | 0.00 | -4.99 | |
4/04 | A | North Harford | 13- | 8 | 5 | 6 | | 0.93 | -1.23 | |
4/07 | A | Joppatowne | 10- | 2 | 8 | 5 | + | 0.93 | 3.23 | |
4/11 | A | Fallston | 7- | 8 | -1 | -3 | | 0.93 | 1.57 | |
4/14 | H | Hereford | 8- | 17 | -9 | -4 | –– | -0.93 | -5.12 | |
4/18 | H | Bel Air | 16- | 6 | 10 | 4 | +++ | -0.93 | 6.08 | |
4/23 | H | North Harford | 9- | 8 | 1 | 8 | ––– | -0.93 | -7.09 | |
4/26 | N | Westminster | 9- | 8 | 1 | -2 | + | 0.00 | 3.02 | |
4/30 | H | Fallston | 10- | 8 | 2 | -1 | + | -0.93 | 2.71 | |
5/08 | H | Perry Hall | 20- | 10 | 10 | 9 | | -0.93 | 1.23 | |
5/12 | A | Kenwood | 16- | 3 | 13 | 11 | + | 0.93 | 2.29 | |
5/13 | A | Catonsville | 13- | 14 | -1 | -4 | + | 0.93 | 3.38 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -13.74 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/22 | H | Great Mills | 18- | 1 | 1.92 |
4/18 | H | Bel Air | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
5/08 | H | Perry Hall | 20- | 10 | 0.00 |
5/12 | A | Kenwood | 16- | 3 | -2.29 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.02 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 338 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.96 | | Natl Power Rank | 338 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 79.37 | | Natl SOS Rank | 578 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1831 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.65 | | W-L Pct Rank | 777 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 7.3 |
|
