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Columbia Cougars (10-9)

Conference: Fitch

Region: NJ Grp-IV

State: NJ

Coach: Dave Brothers

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	MONTCLAIR (9-9)	NJ Grp-IV	97.1		W	12-	10		0.275
4/04	at Livingston (4-14)	NJ Grp-III	79.9		W	16-	6		0.000
4/07	at Roxbury (12-7)	NJ Grp-III	91.9		L	12-	13		-0.350
4/11	MADISON BORO (14-5)	NJ Grp-I	98.0	8	L	4-	11		-0.175
4/15	at Morris Knolls (5-12)	NJ Grp-III	79.3		W	14-	1		0.000
4/18	at Randolph (6-11)	NJ Grp-III	93.8		W	10-	9	ot	0.250
4/23	at Chatham (19-2)	NJ Grp-I	98.8	4	L	9-	19		0.000
4/25	at West Morris Central (17-4)	NJ Grp-II	97.9	9	L	3-	10		-0.100
4/29	WESTFIELD (3-16)	NJ Grp-III	89.8		W	13-	5		0.100
5/02	at Seton Hall Prep (13-4)	NJ Grp-A	97.6		L	9-	11		-0.175
5/04	CALDWELL (10-8)	NJ Grp-I	90.9		W	17-	5		0.050
5/07	SUMMIT (15-6)	NJ Grp-I	97.8	10	W	9-	8	ot	0.300
5/09	at Mount Olive (8-10)	NJ Grp-II	87.3		W	15-	3		0.075
5/11	MONTCLAIR (9-9)	NJ Grp-IV	97.1		W	9-	8		0.275
5/13	at Mendham (10-6)	NJ Grp-II	97.3		L	1-	9		-0.150
5/15	at West Essex Regional (8-8)	NJ Grp-I	96.4		L	4-	10		-0.200
5/18	at Seton Hall Prep (13-4)	NJ Grp-A	97.6		L	4-	5		-0.175
5/23	SOUTH BRUNSWICK (15-6)	NJ Grp-IV	96.8		W	14-	12		0.200
5/27	BRIDGEWATER-RARITAN (10-13)	NJ Grp-IV	96.9		L	6-	13		-0.250
			85.8						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Montclair	12-	10	2	-1	+	-1.37	3.00
4/04	A	Livingston	16-	6	10	11		1.37	-0.57
4/07	A	Roxbury	12-	13	-1	4	––	1.37	-4.90
4/11	H	Madison Boro	4-	11	-7	-3	–	-1.37	-3.65
4/15	A	Morris Knolls	14-	1	13	11		1.37	1.62
4/18	A	Randolph	10-	9	1	0		1.37	1.07
4/23	A	Chatham	9-	19	-10	-10		1.37	0.24
4/25	A	West Morris Central	3-	10	-7	-6		1.37	-1.26
4/29	H	Westfield	13-	5	8	6	+	-1.37	2.33
5/02	A	Seton Hall Prep	9-	11	-2	-3		1.37	0.86
5/04	H	Caldwell	17-	5	12	8	++	-1.37	4.49
5/07	H	Summit	9-	8	1	-2	+	-1.37	3.30
5/09	A	Mount Olive	15-	3	12	7	++	1.37	4.69
5/11	H	Montclair	9-	8	1	-1		-1.37	2.00
5/13	A	Mendham	1-	9	-8	-4	––	1.37	-4.16
5/15	A	West Essex Regional	4-	10	-6	-2	––	1.37	-4.22
5/18	A	Seton Hall Prep	4-	5	-1	-3		1.37	1.86
5/23	H	South Brunswick	14-	12	2	2		-1.37	0.30
5/27	H	Bridgewater-Raritan	6-	13	-7	0	–––	-1.37	-6.99
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	A	Livingston	16-	6	0.57
4/15	A	Morris Knolls	14-	1	-1.62
4/23	A	Chatham	9-	19	0.00
5/04	H	Caldwell	17-	5	-2.00
5/09	A	Mount Olive	15-	3	-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	174
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.09		Natl Power Rank	173
Natl SOS Rating	78.16		Natl SOS Rank	657
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1511
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1267
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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