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Columbia Blue Devils (11-9)

Region: NY A Sec 2

State: NY

Coach: Kyle Randall

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	ALBANY ACADEMY (4-12)	NY A Sec 2	78.7		W	18-	3		0.000
4/08	at Shaker (6-15)	NY A Sec 2	87.0	10	W	10-	9		0.300
4/14	at Ballston Spa (11-8)	NY A Sec 2	90.6	6	L	14-	21		-0.175
4/16	NISKAYUNA (21-1)	NY A Sec 2	98.9	1	L	9-	17		-0.125
4/18	COLONIE (15-5)	NY A Sec 2	92.8	4	W	18-	17		0.275
4/22	BETHLEHEM (2-17)	NY A Sec 2	80.2		W	10-	8		0.125
4/24	at Guilderland (17-3)	NY A Sec 2	95.7	2	L	10-	14		-0.125
4/26	at Glens Falls (12-6)	NY B Sec 2	84.5		W	10-	6		0.200
4/29	at Burnt Hills (4-17)	NY B Sec 2	77.1		W	16-	2		0.000
5/01	at Queensbury (15-3)	NY A Sec 2	90.5	7	L	8-	17		-0.250
5/03	at Schenectady (11-7)	NY A Sec 2	86.2		L	10-	13		-0.300
5/06	SHENENDEHOWA (13-7)	NY A Sec 2	93.4	3	L	7-	13		-0.175
5/08	at Saratoga Spgs (7-12)	NY A Sec 2	87.9	9	W	8-	4		0.275
5/10	SCOTIA-GLENVILLE (12-6)	NY B Sec 2	83.0		W	13-	7		0.075
5/13	BALLSTON SPA (11-8)	NY A Sec 2	90.6	6	L	12-	15		-0.225
5/15	at Colonie (15-5)	NY A Sec 2	92.8	4	L	9-	10		-0.175
5/20	at Bethlehem (2-17)	NY A Sec 2	80.2		W	13-	10		0.175
5/22	BURNT HILLS (4-17)	NY B Sec 2	77.1		W	19-	3		0.000
5/27	at Queensbury (15-3)	NY A Sec 2	90.5	7	W	11-	5		0.250
5/30	at Niskayuna (21-1)	NY A Sec 2	98.9	1	L	3-	14		-0.075
			91.3						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Albany Academy	18-	3	15	10	++	-0.97	5.37
4/08	A	Shaker	10-	9	1	-2	+	0.97	2.76
4/14	A	Ballston Spa	14-	21	-7	-3	––	0.97	-4.26
4/16	H	Niskayuna	9-	17	-8	-5	–	-0.97	-2.69
4/18	H	Colonie	18-	17	1	-1		-0.97	1.65
4/22	H	Bethlehem	10-	8	2	5	–	-0.97	-2.77
4/24	A	Guilderland	10-	14	-4	-5		0.97	1.35
4/26	A	Glens Falls	10-	6	4	2		0.97	1.68
4/29	A	Burnt Hills	16-	2	14	10	+	0.97	3.88
5/01	A	Queensbury	8-	17	-9	0	–––	0.97	-8.74
5/03	A	Schenectady	10-	13	-3	2	––	0.97	-5.28
5/06	H	Shenendehowa	7-	13	-6	-3	–	-0.97	-3.29
5/08	A	Saratoga Spgs	8-	4	4	-1	++	0.97	5.48
5/10	H	Scotia-Glenville	13-	7	6	7		-0.97	-1.12
5/13	H	Ballston Spa	12-	15	-3	-1	–	-0.97	-2.20
5/15	A	Colonie	9-	10	-1	-3		0.97	1.59
5/20	A	Bethlehem	13-	10	3	3		0.97	0.17
5/22	H	Burnt Hills	19-	3	16	12	+	-0.97	3.94
5/27	A	Queensbury	11-	5	6	0	+++	0.97	6.26
5/30	A	Niskayuna	3-	14	-11	-7	–	0.97	-3.75
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Albany Academy	18-	3	-5.37
4/29	A	Burnt Hills	16-	2	-3.88
5/22	H	Burnt Hills	19-	3	-3.94
5/30	A	Niskayuna	3-	14	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.61

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	884
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.12		Natl Power Rank	884
Natl SOS Rating	89.62		Natl SOS Rank	109
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1258
W-L Pct Rating	0.55		W-L Pct Rank	1163
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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