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Conard-West Hartford Chieftains (16-4)

Conference: CCIAC

Region: CT M

State: CT

Coach: Bill Condon

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (12-7)	CT S	90.5		W	13-	4		0.150
4/05	BRANFORD (4-13)	CT M	86.8		W	13-	7		0.100
4/09	WINDSOR (10-8)	CT L	89.2		W	14-	9		0.125
4/11	AVON HS (12-6)	CT M	90.3		W	13-	9		0.150
4/18	at New Milford (11-8)	CT M	91.6		W	19-	15		0.250
4/23	SOUTHINGTON (5-10)	CT L	86.2		W	16-	9		0.075
4/25	GLASTONBURY (15-5)	CT L	94.9	10	L	3-	10		-0.200
4/29	ROCKVILLE (4-12)	CT M	77.2		W	12-	1		0.000
5/01	SOMERS (14-7)	CT S	89.7		W	12-	4		0.100
5/03	at Newtown (16-5)	CT L	94.7		W	11-	9		0.325
5/07	at Simsbury (19-2)	CT L	95.8	6	L	9-	10	ot	-0.100
5/10	CHESHIRE HS (10-10)	CT L	92.9		W	8-	6		0.250
5/13	at Newington (3-13)	CT L	80.7		W	14-	4		0.000
5/16	at South Windsor (8-10)	CT L	85.2		W	14-	7		0.075
5/19	at Daniel Hand-Madison (12-9)	CT M	93.9		W	7-	6		0.300
5/22	HALL-WEST HARTFORD (4-12)	CT L	84.6		W	10-	5		0.050
5/27	at Glastonbury (15-5)	CT L	94.9	10	L	4-	11		-0.150
5/31	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (9-8)	CT M	80.2		W	16-	3		0.000
6/03	GUILFORD (11-8)	CT M	91.6		W	15-	13		0.200
6/05	vs. New Canaan # (14-7)	CT M	95.5	8	L	4-	17		-0.125
# Neutral site			83.9						1.58

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Northwest Catholic	13-	4	9	4	++	-1.20	4.89
4/05	H	Branford	13-	7	6	6		-1.20	0.47
4/09	H	Windsor	14-	9	5	5		-1.20	0.14
4/11	H	Avon HS	13-	9	4	4		-1.20	-0.29
4/18	A	New Milford	19-	15	4	0	+	1.20	3.70
4/23	H	Southington	16-	9	7	7		-1.20	-0.40
4/25	H	Glastonbury	3-	10	-7	-2	––	-1.20	-5.36
4/29	H	Rockville	12-	1	11	15	––	-1.20	-4.33
5/01	H	Somers	12-	4	8	6	+	-1.20	2.43
5/03	A	Newtown	11-	9	2	-3	++	1.20	5.08
5/07	A	Simsbury	9-	10	-1	-6	++	1.20	4.58
5/10	H	Cheshire HS	8-	6	2	0		-1.20	1.99
5/13	A	Newington	14-	4	10	10		1.20	0.42
5/16	A	South Windsor	14-	7	7	7		1.20	0.18
5/19	A	Daniel Hand-Madison	7-	6	1	-2	+	1.20	2.63
5/22	H	Hall-West Hartford	10-	5	5	8	–	-1.20	-3.24
5/27	A	Glastonbury	4-	11	-7	-4	–	1.20	-2.96
5/31	H	Woodstock Academy	16-	3	13	16	–	-1.20	-2.52
6/03	H	Guilford	15-	13	2	2		-1.20	0.41
6/05	N	New Canaan	4-	17	-13	-5	–––	0.00	-7.83
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/29	H	Rockville	12-	1	4.33
5/13	A	Newington	14-	4	-0.42
5/31	H	Woodstock Academy	16-	3	2.52
6/05	N	New Canaan	4-	17	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.47

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	289
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.51		Natl Power Rank	289
Natl SOS Rating	74.50		Natl SOS Rank	1012
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.58		Natl Quality Win Rank	86
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	262
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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