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Connetquot Thunderbirds (10-8)

Conference: Div IRegion: NY A Sec 11State: NYCoach: Pat Collins

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/28at Mount Sinai (18-3)NY C Sec 1199.34L2-10 -0.050  
4/01RIVERHEAD (8-9)NY A Sec 1188.3W15- 3 0.125  
4/03at Half Hollow Hills East (7-10)NY A Sec 1191.5W12- 7 0.250  
4/09at Smithtown West (13-7)NY A Sec 1198.49L4-15 -0.075  
4/11PATCHOGUE-MEDFORD (2-15)NY A Sec 1187.5W5- 42ot0.175  
4/15at Copiague (7-10)NY A Sec 1188.1W13-12ot0.175  
4/17WALT WHITMAN (10-7)NY A Sec 1191.5W11- 5 0.200  
4/21at Commack (4-13)NY A Sec 1186.9W11- 3 0.125  
4/23at North Babylon (3-14)NY A Sec 1186.0W13- 3 0.050  
4/26at Hauppauge (10-8)NY B Sec 1196.1L8-12 -0.150  
4/29MIDDLE COUNTRY (13-6)NY A Sec 1196.2L5- 6 -0.225  
5/01SMITHTOWN EAST (12-7)NY A Sec 1197.9L4-13 -0.150  
5/03LINDENHURST (14-6)NY A Sec 1198.77L4-19 -0.075  
5/07at Deer Park (4-12)NY A Sec 1187.5W14-11 0.150  
5/13at Sachem East (5-11)NY A Sec 1191.4W9- 82ot0.250  
5/15BRENTWOOD (2-15)NY A Sec 1185.2W18- 7 0.000  
5/19at Bay Shore (13-6)NY A Sec 1197.6L6-15 -0.125  
5/23at Lindenhurst (14-6)NY A Sec 1198.77L10-16 -0.050  
 87.8     0.60  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/28AMount Sinai2-10-8   -8       0.65       -0.04
4/01HRiverhead15-312   5       +++-0.65       7.28
4/03AHalf Hollow Hills East12-75   0       ++0.65       5.01
4/09ASmithtown West4-15-11   -7       ––0.65       -4.37
4/11HPatchogue-Medford5-41   3       –-0.65       -2.40
4/15ACopiague13-121   3       0.65       -1.70
4/17HWalt Whitman11-56   2       ++-0.65       4.14
4/21ACommack11-38   5       +0.65       2.56
4/23ANorth Babylon13-310   8       +0.65       2.34
4/26AHauppauge8-12-4   -4       0.65       0.11
4/29HMiddle Country5-6-1   -1       -0.65       0.34
5/01HSmithtown East4-13-9   -4       ––-0.65       -4.78
5/03HLindenhurst4-19-15   -7       –––-0.65       -8.44
5/07ADeer Park14-113   4       0.65       -0.86
5/13ASachem East9-81   0       0.65       1.25
5/15HBrentwood18-711   10       -0.65       1.25
5/19ABay Shore6-15-9   -5       –0.65       -3.56
5/23ALindenhurst10-16-6   -8       0.65       1.85
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01HRiverhead15-3-2.00
4/09ASmithtown West4-151.00
4/23ANorth Babylon13-30.00
5/03HLindenhurst4-195.00
5/15HBrentwood18-7-1.25
10-goal correction: 0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 93.   Natl CCR Rank 395
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 93.46   Natl Power Rank 395
Natl SOS Rating 81.97   Natl SOS Rank 392
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.60   Natl Quality Win Rank 543
W-L Pct Rating 0.56   W-L Pct Rank 1145
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -7.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.3



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