| Region: AZ 1 South | State: AZ | Coach: Craig Fertelmes |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/14 | HIGHLAND (0-13) | AZ 1 North | 73.9 | 10 | W | 13- | 4 | | 0.025 |
2/19 | at Mountain Pointe (10-5) | AZ 1 North | 87.9 | 2 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.225 |
2/22 | at Desert Mountain (6-9) | AZ 1 North | 84.0 | 7 | W | 12- | 9 | | 0.225 |
2/26 | DESERT VISTA (3-10) | AZ 1 North | 80.1 | 8 | W | 16- | 13 | | 0.150 |
2/29 | at Brophy Prep (17-4) | AZ 1 North | 93.8 | 1 | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.125 |
3/11 | GILBERT (1-12) | AZ 1 South | 74.8 | 9 | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/14 | SAGUARO (9-7) | AZ 1 South | 85.9 | 6 | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.275 |
3/19 | CHAPARRAL (11-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.6 | 4 | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.225 |
3/22 | at Chandler (12-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.7 | 3 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.200 |
3/29 | at Chandler (12-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.7 | 3 | W | 12- | 8 | | 0.300 |
4/04 | at Chaparral (11-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.6 | 4 | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.275 |
4/08 | at Saguaro (9-7) | AZ 1 South | 85.9 | 6 | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.225 |
4/11 | at Gilbert (1-12) | AZ 1 South | 74.8 | 9 | W | 19- | 13 | | 0.000 |
4/15 | at Mountain Pointe (10-5) | AZ 1 North | 87.9 | 2 | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.225 |
| | 87.1 | | | | | | 0.03 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/14 | H | Highland | 13- | 4 | 9 | 9 | | -0.17 | 0.38 | |
2/19 | A | Mountain Pointe | 9- | 10 | -1 | -1 | | 0.17 | 0.31 | |
2/22 | A | Desert Mountain | 12- | 9 | 3 | 1 | + | 0.17 | 2.23 | |
2/26 | H | Desert Vista | 16- | 13 | 3 | 4 | | -0.17 | -1.20 | |
2/29 | A | Brophy Prep | 4- | 12 | -8 | -5 | – | 0.17 | -2.65 | |
3/11 | H | Gilbert | 14- | 4 | 10 | 10 | | -0.17 | 0.09 | |
3/14 | H | Saguaro | 9- | 8 | 1 | -1 | | -0.17 | 1.60 | |
3/19 | H | Chaparral | 5- | 7 | -2 | -1 | | -0.17 | -0.99 | |
3/22 | A | Chandler | 7- | 9 | -2 | -2 | | 0.17 | -0.41 | |
3/29 | A | Chandler | 12- | 8 | 4 | -2 | ++ | 0.17 | 5.59 | |
4/04 | A | Chaparral | 7- | 4 | 3 | -1 | ++ | 0.17 | 4.35 | |
4/08 | A | Saguaro | 4- | 8 | -4 | -1 | – | 0.17 | -3.06 | |
4/11 | A | Gilbert | 19- | 13 | 6 | 10 | – | 0.17 | -3.56 | |
4/15 | A | Mountain Pointe | 7- | 11 | -4 | -1 | – | 0.17 | -2.69 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/11 | H | Gilbert | 14- | 4 | -0.09 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.01 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 87. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1153 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 86.27 | | Natl Power Rank | 1153 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 80.59 | | Natl SOS Rank | 489 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.03 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1306 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.57 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1037 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 8-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
| 
