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Council Rock South Hawks (6-14)

Region: PA SubCont

State: PA

Coach: Paul McGovern

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	PENNSBURY (13-7)	PA SubNat	93.5		L	9-	12		-0.150
3/26	at Pennridge (6-14)	PA SubNat	89.3		L	10-	12		-0.250
3/27	at Holy Ghost Prep (12-7)	PA Noeast	92.8		L	4-	16		-0.100
3/31	CENTRAL BUCKS SOUTH (9-11)	PA SubNat	91.6		L	7-	12		-0.200
4/07	SOUDERTON (4-14)	PA SubCont	88.6		W	15-	5		0.150
4/08	COUNCIL ROCK NORTH (11-7)	PA SubCont	92.8		L	8-	11		-0.175
4/10	FRIENDS CENTRAL (10-8)	PA Noeast	91.2		W	8-	7		0.250
4/11	at Central Bucks West (12-6)	PA SubCont	94.8		L	7-	16		-0.050
4/15	HATBORO-HORSHAM (18-3)	PA SubCont	96.8		L	4-	18		-0.050
4/16	at Central Bucks East (13-4)	PA SubCont	96.4		L	10-	16		0.000
4/18	at Norristown Area (2-16)	PA SubCont	86.0		W	17-	5		0.050
4/24	CENTRAL BUCKS EAST (13-4)	PA SubCont	96.4		L	8-	13		-0.075
4/26	at Nazareth HS (4-15)	PA PVLL-LV	86.9		W	15-	5		0.125
4/29	at Souderton (4-14)	PA SubCont	88.6		L	11-	12	ot	-0.300
4/30	at Truman (3-15)	PA SubNat	87.4		W	8-	5		0.125
5/02	at Council Rock North (11-7)	PA SubCont	92.8		L	5-	10		-0.125
5/05	at Neshaminy (11-7)	PA SubNat	93.0		L	4-	13		-0.100
5/06	CENTRAL BUCKS WEST (12-6)	PA SubCont	94.8		L	7-	14		-0.100
5/09	at Hatboro-Horsham (18-3)	PA SubCont	96.8		L	6-	16		0.000
5/13	NORRISTOWN AREA (2-16)	PA SubCont	86.0		W	15-	1		0.000
			82.6						-0.98

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Pennsbury	9-	12	-3	-4		-1.27	0.71
3/26	A	Pennridge	10-	12	-2	0		1.27	-1.50
3/27	A	Holy Ghost Prep	4-	16	-12	-6	–––	1.27	-6.31
3/31	H	Central Bucks South	7-	12	-5	-2	–	-1.27	-3.08
4/07	H	Souderton	15-	5	10	4	++	-1.27	5.60
4/08	H	Council Rock North	8-	11	-3	-3		-1.27	-0.05
4/10	H	Friends Central	8-	7	1	0		-1.27	0.61
4/11	A	Central Bucks West	7-	16	-9	-8		1.27	-0.79
4/15	H	Hatboro-Horsham	4-	18	-14	-8	–––	-1.27	-6.04
4/16	A	Central Bucks East	10-	16	-6	-10	+	1.27	3.87
4/18	A	Norristown Area	17-	5	12	8	++	1.27	4.03
4/24	H	Central Bucks East	8-	13	-5	-7	+	-1.27	2.34
4/26	A	Nazareth HS	15-	5	10	5	++	1.27	4.60
4/29	A	Souderton	11-	12	-1	2	–	1.27	-2.87
4/30	A	Truman	8-	5	3	5		1.27	-1.61
5/02	A	Council Rock North	5-	10	-5	-5		1.27	0.48
5/05	A	Neshaminy	4-	13	-9	-6	–	1.27	-2.68
5/06	H	Central Bucks West	7-	14	-7	-6		-1.27	-1.32
5/09	A	Hatboro-Horsham	6-	16	-10	-10		1.27	0.49
5/13	H	Norristown Area	15-	1	14	10	+	-1.27	3.50
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	Holy Ghost Prep	4-	16	2.00
4/07	H	Souderton	15-	5	0.00
4/15	H	Hatboro-Horsham	4-	18	4.00
4/18	A	Norristown Area	17-	5	-2.00
4/26	A	Nazareth HS	15-	5	0.00
5/09	A	Hatboro-Horsham	6-	16	0.00
5/13	H	Norristown Area	15-	1	-3.50
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	785
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.40		Natl Power Rank	785
Natl SOS Rating	72.17		Natl SOS Rank	1260
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.98		Natl Quality Win Rank	2781
W-L Pct Rating	0.30		W-L Pct Rank	2098
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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