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Covenant Eagles (16-4)

Region: VA 2 VICState: VACoach: Dave Breslin

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/13at Charlottesville (6-7)VA Jeffsn82.2W14- 8 0.050  
3/18WESTERN ALBEMARLE (14-6)VA Jeffsn91.2L7-12 -0.325  
3/20at Nansemond-Suffolk Acad (9-7)VA 2 Tidewtr85.75W15-11 0.225  
4/01NORTH CROSS (3-9)VA 3 VIC70.1W17- 0 0.000  
4/04at Virginia Episcopal (16-3)VA 2 VIC90.63L8-12 -0.200  
4/08WALSINGHAM ACADEMY (4-10)VA 2 Privte81.97W14-10 0.100  
4/10ROANOKE CATHOLIC (10-5)VA 3 VIC82.5W14- 4 0.000  
4/12at Blue Ridge School (9-5)VA 3 CavAC82.1W12- 1 0.050  
4/15MILLER SCHOOL (5-9)VA 3 VIC74.3W19- 5 0.000  
4/18at Highland School (15-3)VA 2 Delaney92.21L2-10 -0.150  
4/22FISHBURNE MILITARY (0-12)VA 3 VIC63.1W19- 0 0.000  
4/24at Tandem Friends (4-9)VA 2 Delaney75.0W17- 7 0.000  
4/29at Hargrave Military Acad (3-11)VA 3 VIC71.8W12- 3 0.000  
5/01FORK UNION MIL ACADEMY (3-11)VA 2 Tidewtr71.1W16- 3 0.000  
5/06ROANOKE CATHOLIC (10-5)VA 3 VIC82.5W12- 2 0.000  
5/08at St Anne's-Belfield (15-5)VA 1 VIP97.2L5-13 -0.050  
5/10at Virginia Episcopal (16-3)VA 2 VIC90.63W11-10ot0.300  
5/13WALSINGHAM ACADEMY (4-10)VA 2 Privte81.97W7- 6 0.100  
5/15VIRGINIA EPISCOPAL (16-3)VA 2 VIC90.63W11- 5 0.175  
5/17vs. Highland School # (15-3)VA 2 Delaney92.21W10- 4 1.300  
# Neutral site 84.3     1.58  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/13ACharlottesville14-86   8       –1.95       -2.05
3/18HWestern Albemarle7-12-5   3       –––-1.95       -7.92
3/20ANansemond-Suffolk Acad15-114   1       +2.39       3.23
4/01HNorth Cross17-017   24       –––-1.95       -7.02
4/04AVirginia Episcopal8-12-4   -2       –2.39       -2.48
4/08HWalsingham Academy14-104   6       -2.39       -1.93
4/10HRoanoke Catholic14-410   12       -1.95       -1.62
4/12ABlue Ridge School12-111   8       +1.95       2.85
4/15HMiller School19-514   20       ––-1.95       -5.84
4/18AHighland School2-10-8   -4       –2.39       -3.88
4/22HFishburne Military19-019   31       –––-1.95       -12.06
4/24ATandem Friends17-710   10       2.39       0.38
4/29AHargrave Military Acad12-39   18       –––1.95       -9.45
5/01HFork Union Mil Academy16-313   16       –-2.39       -3.37
5/06HRoanoke Catholic12-210   12       -1.95       -1.62
5/08ASt Anne's-Belfield5-13-8   -8       2.56       -0.49
5/10AVirginia Episcopal11-101   -2       +2.39       2.52
5/13HWalsingham Academy7-61   6       ––-2.39       -4.93
5/15HVirginia Episcopal11-56   3       +-2.39       2.74
5/17NHighland School10-46   -2       +++0.00       7.73
         0.00-45.22

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01HNorth Cross17-07.02
4/10HRoanoke Catholic14-41.62
4/12ABlue Ridge School12-1-1.00
4/15HMiller School19-55.84
4/22HFishburne Military19-012.06
4/24ATandem Friends17-7-0.38
5/01HFork Union Mil Academy16-33.37
5/06HRoanoke Catholic12-21.62
10-goal correction: 1.51

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 92.   Natl CCR Rank 512
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 92.22   Natl Power Rank 512
Natl SOS Rating 75.36   Natl SOS Rank 924
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.58   Natl Quality Win Rank 89
W-L Pct Rating 0.80   W-L Pct Rank 283
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 0.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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