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Caravel Academy Buccaneers (7-10)

Region: DE Indep

State: DE

Coach: Mark Donnelley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Sanford (7-8)	DE IndCon	80.6		L	0-	13		0.000
4/05	SAINT ELIZABETH (4-12)	DE Indep	69.6		W	6-	5		0.275
4/08	PENCADER CHARTER (1-14)	DE BluHen	57.5		W	10-	0		0.025
4/10	SAINT MARK'S (10-7)	DE Cathlc	86.2	9	L	0-	16		0.000
4/11	vs. Dover # (9-7)	DE Caphen	80.0		L	2-	12		-0.025
4/14	at Sussex Tech (11-7)	DE Caphen	80.1		L	4-	15		-0.050
4/16	at Delaware Military Acad (2-14)	DE Bluhen	61.8		W	15-	5		0.125
4/21	MILFORD (3-13)	DE Caphen	67.9		W	12-	6		0.200
4/23	at Wilmington Christian (13-3)	DE Diamnd	78.3		L	11-	12		-0.125
4/28	at St Thomas More Prep (4-12)	DE Diamnd	64.9		W	10-	4		0.175
4/30	at DelMarva Christian (9-7)	DE Diamnd	76.9		L	4-	5		-0.100
5/02	MOUNT PLEASANT (6-11)	DE Bluhen	69.5		L	5-	6		-0.250
5/05	RISING SUN (4-9)	MD 21 South	73.1		W	7-	6		0.275
5/07	DICKINSON (0-12)	DE Bluhen	70.0		W	1-	0		0.400
5/09	at Delmar (8-7)	DE BluHen	76.6		L	9-	20		-0.075
5/14	at Red Lion Christian (6-10)	DE Diamnd	70.7		L	8-	10		-0.200
5/16	NEWARK (9-7)	DE Bluhen	76.3		L	5-	18		-0.150
# Neutral site			74.8						0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Sanford	0-	13	-13	-10	–	0.82	-3.41
4/05	H	Saint Elizabeth	6-	5	1	-1		-0.82	1.72
4/08	H	Pencader Charter	10-	0	10	9		-0.82	0.85
4/10	H	Saint Mark's	0-	16	-16	-13	–	-0.82	-2.61
4/11	N	Dover	2-	12	-10	-9		0.00	-1.49
4/14	A	Sussex Tech	4-	15	-11	-8	–	0.82	-2.95
4/16	A	Delaware Military Acad	15-	5	10	5	++	0.82	5.45
4/21	H	Milford	12-	6	6	2	++	-0.82	4.27
4/23	A	Wilmington Christian	11-	12	-1	-5	+	0.82	3.98
4/28	A	St Thomas More Prep	10-	4	6	3	+	0.82	3.48
4/30	A	DelMarva Christian	4-	5	-1	-6	++	0.82	5.41
5/02	H	Mount Pleasant	5-	6	-1	0		-0.82	-1.16
5/05	H	Rising Sun	7-	6	1	-1	+	-0.88		2.06
5/09	A	Delmar	9-	20	-11	-7	––	0.82	-4.23
5/14	A	Red Lion Christian	8-	10	-2	-2		0.82	-0.25
5/16	H	Newark	5-	18	-13	-4	–––	-0.82	-9.08
									0.00	2.06

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Sanford	0-	13	3.00
4/08	H	Pencader Charter	10-	0	0.00
4/10	H	Saint Mark's	0-	16	2.61
4/11	N	Dover	2-	12	0.00
4/14	A	Sussex Tech	4-	15	1.00
4/16	A	Delaware Military Acad	15-	5	0.00
5/09	A	Delmar	9-	20	1.00
5/16	H	Newark	5-	18	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.66

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	2550
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.17		Natl Power Rank	2550
Natl SOS Rating	58.49		Natl SOS Rank	2477
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	597
W-L Pct Rating	0.41		W-L Pct Rank	1727
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.7


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