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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Catoctin Cougars (3-11)

Region: MD 21 WestState: MDCoach: Bill Derbyshire

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/25FREDERICK (11-5)MD 32 West90.8L6-12 -0.025  
3/27at Walkersville (16-3)MD 32 West95.69L6-20 0.000  
4/01TUSCARORA (7-9)MD 32 West87.9L4-15 -0.075  
4/03at Francis Scott Key (5-9)MD 32 West85.6L8-17 -0.075  
4/10SOUTH CARROLL (11-5)MD 21 West94.4L9-20 0.000  
4/12NORTH HAGERSTOWN (2-11)MD 32 West75.2W12- 3 0.150  
4/15at Liberty (6-8)MD 21 West88.8L2-13 0.000  
4/17SMITHSBURG (9-6)MD 21 West89.1L3-16 -0.050  
4/22at Century (12-6)MD 21 West93.8L5-21 0.000  
4/24BRUNSWICK (2-11)MD 21 West80.4L5-13 -0.200  
4/29at Middletown (10-5)MD 32 West89.4L5-14 -0.025  
5/01at South Hagerstown (1-14)MD 32 West71.5W16- 4 0.125  
5/08at Rockville (3-12)MD 21 West72.1W11-10 0.125  
5/10at Marriott's Ridge (12-5)MD 21 West94.1L5-16 0.000  
 82.1     -0.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25HFrederick6-12-6   -9       +-0.93       2.51
3/27AWalkersville6-20-14   -17       +0.93       3.34
4/01HTuscarora4-15-11   -7       -0.93       -3.71
4/03AFrancis Scott Key8-17-9   -7       0.93       -1.56
4/10HSouth Carroll9-20-11   -14       +-0.93       3.35
4/12HNorth Hagerstown12-39   4       ++-0.93       4.64
4/15ALiberty2-13-11   -10       0.93       -0.81
4/17HSmithsburg3-16-13   -8       ––-0.93       -4.74
4/22ACentury5-21-16   -14       0.93       -1.96
4/24HBrunswick5-13-8   -2       –––-0.93       -6.00
4/29AMiddletown5-14-9   -9       0.93       -0.35
5/01ASouth Hagerstown16-412   5       +++0.93       6.65
5/08ARockville11-101   5       ––0.93       -4.34
5/10AMarriott's Ridge5-16-11   -14       +0.93       2.99
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27AWalkersville6-20-3.34
4/01HTuscarora4-151.00
4/10HSouth Carroll9-20-3.35
4/15ALiberty2-131.00
4/17HSmithsburg3-163.00
4/22ACentury5-211.96
5/01ASouth Hagerstown16-4-2.00
5/10AMarriott's Ridge5-16-2.99
10-goal correction: -0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 78.   Natl CCR Rank 1970
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 78.48   Natl Power Rank 1970
Natl SOS Rating 71.27   Natl SOS Rank 1355
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 1538
W-L Pct Rating 0.21   W-L Pct Rank 2317
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 3-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -6.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.7



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