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Culpeper HS Blue Devils (1-13)

Region: VA Cedar

State: VA

Coach: Donovan O'Brien

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	BROOKE POINT (8-10)	VA Comw	84.9	10	L	10-	18		-0.075
3/31	at Heritage-Leesburg (14-3)	VA Dulles	87.5		L	6-	21		0.000
4/03	LOUDOUN VALLEY (15-6)	VA Cedar	88.4	4	L	4-	10		-0.075
4/07	at Liberty-Bealeton (2-12)	VA Cedar	76.7		L	6-	8		-0.200
4/10	FAUQUIER (11-4)	VA Cedar	88.3	5	L	8-	14		-0.075
4/14	at Osbourn (12-4)	VA Cedar	88.1	6	L	3-	13		0.000
4/17	BATTLEFIELD (9-6)	VA Cedar	85.1	9	L	11-	12		-0.150
4/23	BRENTSVILLE (7-7)	VA NoWest	79.3		L	8-	12		-0.225
4/25	STONEWALL JACKSON (4-9)	VA Cedar	78.1		L	5-	6		-0.250
5/01	LIBERTY-BEALETON (2-12)	VA Cedar	76.7		W	9-	7		0.200
5/02	at Osbourn Park (13-5)	VA Cedar	89.2	3	L	1-	19		0.000
5/05	at Fauquier (11-4)	VA Cedar	88.3	5	L	2-	12		0.000
5/07	at Loudoun Valley (15-6)	VA Cedar	88.4	4	L	3-	10		0.000
5/14	at Fauquier (11-4)	VA Cedar	88.3	5	L	1-	15		0.000
			85.0						-0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Brooke Point	10-	18	-8	-7		-1.84	-1.22
3/31	A	Heritage-Leesburg	6-	21	-15	-12	–	1.67		-2.80
4/03	H	Loudoun Valley	4-	10	-6	-7		-1.84	1.31
4/07	A	Liberty-Bealeton	6-	8	-2	-2		1.84	-0.32
4/10	H	Fauquier	8-	14	-6	-7		-1.84	1.36
4/14	A	Osbourn	3-	13	-10	-11		1.84	0.83
4/17	H	Battlefield	11-	12	-1	-4	+	-1.84	2.71
4/23	H	Brentsville	8-	12	-4	-1	–	-1.67		-3.32
4/25	H	Stonewall Jackson	5-	6	-1	0		-1.84	-1.22
5/01	H	Liberty-Bealeton	9-	7	2	2		-1.84	0.00
5/02	A	Osbourn Park	1-	19	-18	-13	––	1.84	-5.48
5/05	A	Fauquier	2-	12	-10	-11		1.84	1.03
5/07	A	Loudoun Valley	3-	10	-7	-11	+	1.84	3.98
5/14	A	Fauquier	1-	15	-14	-11	–	1.84	-2.97
									0.00	-6.13

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Heritage-Leesburg	6-	21	2.80
4/14	A	Osbourn	3-	13	-0.83
5/02	A	Osbourn Park	1-	19	5.48
5/05	A	Fauquier	2-	12	-1.03
5/14	A	Fauquier	1-	15	2.97
10-goal correction: 0.67

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2130
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.94		Natl Power Rank	2130
Natl SOS Rating	76.22		Natl SOS Rank	848
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	2679
W-L Pct Rating	0.07		W-L Pct Rank	2670
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.3


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