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Cumberland Valley Eagles (14-5)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: Scott Shea

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/18	at Susquehannock (19-1)	PA York 1	95.8	1	L	7-	8		-0.150
3/28	at Emmaus (16-3)	PA PVLL-LV	97.0		L	7-	8	ot	-0.125
4/01	CENTRAL DAUPHIN (7-9)	PA Mid 1	82.6		W	14-	3		0.000
4/03	CONESTOGA VALLEY (4-15)	PA LL04	82.1		W	12-	5		0.025
4/07	MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (19-9)	PA LL04	94.9	2	W	8-	2		0.275
4/08	at Bishop McDevitt (4-12)	PA Mid 1	78.5		W	10-	1		0.000
4/12	at Palmyra (9-9)	PA Mid 1	83.1		W	12-	4		0.025
4/15	CHAMBERSBURG (13-6)	PA Mid 1	88.2	10	W	15-	5		0.125
4/17	at Warwick (17-6)	PA LL04	93.4	3	L	5-	9		-0.250
4/19	at Parkland (11-6)	PA PVLL-LV	94.1		W	7-	5		0.300
4/22	HEMPFIELD (13-12)	PA LL04	92.2	5	L	5-	7		-0.200
4/25	at Carlisle (14-7)	PA Mid 1	89.5	7	W	6-	5		0.175
4/30	at Harrisburg Academy (1-14)	PA Mid 1	74.9		W	21-	8		0.000
5/06	LOWER DAUPHIN (6-10)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	11-	5		0.000
5/10	at Hershey (9-7)	PA Mid 1	84.4		W	10-	9	3ot	0.075
5/15	CENTRAL DAUPHIN EAST (0-14)	PA Mid 1	71.9		W	24-	1		0.000
5/23	CONRAD WEISER (22-5)	PA Berks	86.2		W	18-	4		0.000
5/28	WARWICK (17-6)	PA LL04	93.4	3	W	10-	8		0.250
5/30	vs. Manheim Township # (19-9)	PA LL04	94.9	2	L	5-	6	ot	-0.200
# Neutral site			86.7						0.33

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/18	A	Susquehannock	7-	8	-1	-4	+	0.28	2.61
3/28	A	Emmaus	7-	8	-1	-5	++	0.77		4.17
4/01	H	Central Dauphin	14-	3	11	10		-0.28	0.85
4/03	H	Conestoga Valley	12-	5	7	9	–	-0.28	-2.22
4/07	H	Manheim Township	8-	2	6	-1	+++	-0.28	7.32
4/08	A	Bishop McDevitt	10-	1	9	12	–	0.28	-3.44
4/12	A	Palmyra	12-	4	8	9		0.28	-0.65
4/15	H	Chambersburg	15-	5	10	5	++	-0.28	5.32
4/17	A	Warwick	5-	9	-4	0	–	0.28	-3.80
4/19	A	Parkland	7-	5	2	-2	++	0.77		4.32
4/22	H	Hempfield	5-	7	-2	-2		-0.28	-0.08
4/25	A	Carlisle	6-	5	1	3		0.28	-1.96
4/30	A	Harrisburg Academy	21-	8	13	16	–	0.28	-2.68
5/06	H	Lower Dauphin	11-	5	6	11	––	-0.28	-4.91
5/10	A	Hershey	10-	9	1	7	––	0.28	-5.74
5/15	H	Central Dauphin East	24-	1	23	20	+	-0.28	2.95
5/23	H	Conrad Weiser	18-	4	14	10	++	-0.28	4.18
5/28	H	Warwick	10-	8	2	0		-0.28	1.64
5/30	N	Manheim Township	5-	6	-1	-2		0.00	0.61
									0.00	8.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	H	Central Dauphin	14-	3	-0.85
4/15	H	Chambersburg	15-	5	0.00
4/30	A	Harrisburg Academy	21-	8	2.68
5/15	H	Central Dauphin East	24-	1	-2.95
5/23	H	Conrad Weiser	18-	4	-4.18
10-goal correction: -0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	438
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.58		Natl Power Rank	438
Natl SOS Rating	80.16		Natl SOS Rank	524
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.33		Natl Quality Win Rank	816
W-L Pct Rating	0.74		W-L Pct Rank	462
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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