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Danvers Falcons (7-13)

Conference: North Shore

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: John Maggiacomo

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	IPSWICH (11-7)	MA 3	90.3		L	5-	12		-0.200
4/07	at Lynn-Classical/English (2-15)	MA 1	78.2		W	10-	1		0.150
4/10	at Marblehead (10-9)	MA 2	90.8		L	9-	13		-0.075
4/12	at Bishop Fenwick (7-11)	MA 3	83.1		W	11-	1		0.200
4/17	BEVERLY (9-10)	MA 1	90.5		L	7-	8	ot	-0.200
4/18	SWAMPSCOTT (10-11)	MA 3	88.2		L	3-	11		-0.250
4/21	at Peabody (14-6)	MA 1	92.9		L	7-	16		-0.025
4/23	READING MEMORIAL (18-4)	MA 2	94.7	10	L	3-	16		0.000
4/25	NORTH READING (2-17)	MA 3	79.5		W	11-	7		0.125
4/29	at Saugus (8-9)	MA 2	88.0		W	9-	7		0.275
5/02	SALEM (2-15)	MA 1	80.7		W	12-	10		0.125
5/05	at Gloucester (9-10)	MA 1	88.4		W	9-	8		0.300
5/08	PEABODY (14-6)	MA 1	92.9		L	3-	11		-0.075
5/09	HAMILTON-WENHAM (13-7)	MA 3	92.1		L	7-	15		-0.125
5/10	TRITON-BYFIELD (8-9)	MA 2	89.8		W	10-	9	ot	0.300
5/13	at Beverly (9-10)	MA 1	90.5		L	9-	10		-0.150
5/15	MASCONOMET (15-6)	MA 2	93.3		L	9-	18		-0.050
5/16	SAUGUS (8-9)	MA 2	88.0		L	6-	7	ot	-0.275
5/19	MARBLEHEAD (10-9)	MA 2	90.8		L	5-	11		-0.125
5/21	GLOUCESTER (9-10)	MA 1	88.4		L	9-	11		-0.250
			81.3						-0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	Ipswich	5-	12	-7	-2	––	-1.09	-5.05
4/07	A	Lynn-Classical/English	10-	1	9	4	++	1.09	4.83
4/10	A	Marblehead	9-	13	-4	-7	+	1.09	2.85
4/12	A	Bishop Fenwick	11-	1	10	2	+++	1.09	7.84
4/17	H	Beverly	7-	8	-1	-2		-1.09	0.95
4/18	H	Swampscott	3-	11	-8	0	–––	-1.09	-8.02
4/21	A	Peabody	7-	16	-9	-9		1.09	-0.21
4/23	H	Reading Memorial	3-	16	-13	-10	–	-1.09	-2.90
4/25	H	North Reading	11-	7	4	5		-1.09	-0.63
4/29	A	Saugus	9-	7	2	-1	+	1.09	3.38
5/02	H	Salem	12-	10	2	5	–	-1.09	-2.81
5/05	A	Gloucester	9-	8	1	-2	+	1.09	3.43
5/08	H	Peabody	3-	11	-8	-7		-1.09	-1.39
5/09	H	Hamilton-Wenham	7-	15	-8	-5	–	-1.09	-2.56
5/10	H	Triton-Byfield	10-	9	1	-2	+	-1.09	3.17
5/13	A	Beverly	9-	10	-1	-4	+	1.09	3.13
5/15	H	Masconomet	9-	18	-9	-8		-1.09	-1.13
5/16	H	Saugus	6-	7	-1	1		-1.09	-1.81
5/19	H	Marblehead	5-	11	-6	-5		-1.09	-1.33
5/21	H	Gloucester	9-	11	-2	0		-1.09	-1.75
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	A	Bishop Fenwick	11-	1	0.00
4/23	H	Reading Memorial	3-	16	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1205
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.24		Natl Power Rank	1205
Natl SOS Rating	69.43		Natl SOS Rank	1532
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	2055
W-L Pct Rating	0.35		W-L Pct Rank	1953
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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