| Region: AZ 1 North | State: AZ | Coach: Emmitt Mitchell |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/08 | CHANDLER (12-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.7 | 3 | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.200 |
2/09 | vs. Bonanza # (23-0) | NV LVLL | 93.6 | | L | 4- | 9 | | 0.000 |
2/12 | at Saguaro (9-7) | AZ 1 South | 85.9 | 6 | L | 4- | 5 | | -0.200 |
2/22 | CORONA DEL SOL (8-6) | AZ 1 South | 86.3 | 5 | L | 9- | 12 | | -0.225 |
2/28 | GILBERT (1-12) | AZ 1 South | 74.8 | 9 | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.025 |
3/05 | MOUNTAIN POINTE (10-5) | AZ 1 North | 87.9 | 2 | L | 7- | 16 | | -0.200 |
3/12 | BROPHY PREP (17-4) | AZ 1 North | 93.8 | 1 | L | 9- | 15 | | -0.100 |
3/24 | DUBLIN JEROME (14-6) | OH 1 Reg 2 | 96.9 | | L | 5- | 18 | | 0.000 |
3/26 | DESERT VISTA (3-10) | AZ 1 North | 80.1 | 8 | W | 11- | 10 | ot | 0.175 |
3/28 | at Brophy Prep (17-4) | AZ 1 North | 93.8 | 1 | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.100 |
3/31 | CHAPARRAL (11-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.6 | 4 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.300 |
4/01 | at Mountain Pointe (10-5) | AZ 1 North | 87.9 | 2 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.200 |
4/04 | HIGHLAND (0-13) | AZ 1 North | 73.9 | 10 | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.050 |
4/08 | at Desert Vista (3-10) | AZ 1 North | 80.1 | 8 | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.175 |
4/10 | at Highland (0-13) | AZ 1 North | 73.9 | 10 | W | 17- | 6 | | 0.075 |
| # Neutral site | | 87.9 | | | | | | -0.43 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/08 | H | Chandler | 8- | 10 | -2 | -2 | | -0.17 | 0.18 | |
2/09 | N | Bonanza | 4- | 9 | -5 | -10 | ++ | 0.00 | | 4.53 |
2/12 | A | Saguaro | 4- | 5 | -1 | -2 | | 0.17 | 0.88 | |
2/22 | H | Corona del Sol | 9- | 12 | -3 | -1 | – | -0.17 | -2.23 | |
2/28 | H | Gilbert | 16- | 3 | 13 | 9 | ++ | -0.17 | 4.03 | |
3/05 | H | Mountain Pointe | 7- | 16 | -9 | -2 | ––– | -0.17 | -7.10 | |
3/12 | H | Brophy Prep | 9- | 15 | -6 | -6 | | -0.17 | -0.05 | |
3/24 | H | Dublin Jerome | 5- | 18 | -13 | -12 | | -0.72 | | -0.82 |
3/26 | H | Desert Vista | 11- | 10 | 1 | 3 | – | -0.17 | -2.26 | |
3/28 | A | Brophy Prep | 5- | 10 | -5 | -6 | | 0.17 | 1.29 | |
3/31 | H | Chaparral | 8- | 7 | 1 | -2 | + | -0.17 | 2.94 | |
4/01 | A | Mountain Pointe | 8- | 9 | -1 | -2 | | 0.17 | 1.24 | |
4/04 | H | Highland | 11- | 6 | 5 | 8 | – | -0.17 | -2.68 | |
4/08 | A | Desert Vista | 11- | 8 | 3 | 3 | | 0.17 | 0.09 | |
4/10 | A | Highland | 17- | 6 | 11 | 7 | + | 0.17 | 3.66 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 3.72 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/28 | H | Gilbert | 16- | 3 | -3.00 |
3/24 | H | Dublin Jerome | 5- | 18 | 0.82 |
4/10 | A | Highland | 17- | 6 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.21 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 84. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1437 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 84.02 | | Natl Power Rank | 1437 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.30 | | Natl SOS Rank | 376 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.43 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2226 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.40 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1764 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.3 |
|
