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St Petersburg Dragons (5-10)

Region: FL WFLL-A

State: FL

Coach: Frank Collova

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/05	at Bloomingdale (5-12)	FL WFLL-B	67.5		W	1-	0		0.150
2/09	WESLEY CHAPEL (12-4)	FL WFLL-A	83.4	8	L	4-	11		-0.050
2/13	TAMPA JESUIT (12-3)	FL WFLL-A	84.9	7	L	6-	12		0.000
2/16	HERNANDO LC (3-9)	FL WFLL-A	73.1		W	12-	9		0.250
2/19	at Sarasota Mil Academy (17-2)	FL WFLL-B	81.7		L	4-	10		-0.050
2/22	BERKELEY PREP (9-7)	FL WFLL-B	73.9		W	15-	8		0.250
3/04	COOKEVILLE (9-4)	TN 2 East	79.7		W	14-	13		0.375
3/06	at Citrus Park (4-9)	FL WFLL-A	74.2		L	9-	11		-0.200
3/13	at Tampa Catholic (3-9)	FL WFLL-A	74.0		L	8-	11		-0.200
3/15	at Fish Hawk LC (7-5)	FL WFLL-A	79.8		L	1-	14		-0.075
3/18	at Lakewood Ranch (8-8)	FL WFLL-A	78.3		L	4-	11		-0.125
3/21	FREEDOM-TAMPA (5-9)	FL WFLL-A	78.7		L	3-	10		-0.125
3/22	BUCHHOLZ (1-3)	FL No-East	62.9		W	16-	3		0.025
3/26	at H.B. Plant (15-4)	FL WFLL-A	87.7	3	L	2-	17		0.000
4/12	CLEARWATER (10-7)	FL WFLL-A	80.0		L	5-	20		-0.075
			80.9						0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/09	H	Wesley Chapel	4-	11	-7	-8		-0.57	1.42
2/13	H	Tampa Jesuit	6-	12	-6	-10	+	-0.57	3.87
2/16	H	Hernando LC	12-	9	3	0	+	-0.57	2.76
2/19	A	Sarasota Mil Academy	4-	10	-6	-8		0.57	1.77
2/22	H	Berkeley Prep	15-	8	7	0	+++	-0.57	6.63
3/04	H	Cookeville	14-	13	1	-5	+++	-0.56		6.32
3/06	A	Citrus Park	9-	11	-2	-2		0.57	0.22
3/13	A	Tampa Catholic	8-	11	-3	-2		0.57	-1.37
3/15	A	Fish Hawk LC	1-	14	-13	-7	–––	0.57	-6.33
3/18	A	Lakewood Ranch	4-	11	-7	-5		0.57	-1.93
3/21	H	Freedom-Tampa	3-	10	-7	-5		-0.57	-1.93
3/22	H	Buchholz	16-	3	13	9	+	-0.57	3.91
3/26	A	H.B. Plant	2-	17	-15	-14		0.57	-0.54
4/12	H	Clearwater	5-	20	-15	-7	–––	-0.57	-8.49
									0.00	6.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	A	Fish Hawk LC	1-	14	3.00
3/22	H	Buchholz	16-	3	-3.00
3/26	A	H.B. Plant	2-	17	0.54
4/12	H	Clearwater	5-	20	5.00
10-goal correction: 0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	2349
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.87		Natl Power Rank	2349
Natl SOS Rating	68.76		Natl SOS Rank	1604
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1084
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1973
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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