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Downingtown East Cougars (12-6)

Region: PA Suburb

State: PA

Coach: Tom Slate

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	FORT COLLINS UNIFIED (13-4)	CO Foothil	95.3		W	5-	3		0.225
3/25	at Malvern Prep (17-2)	PA IAC	99.6	1	L	3-	6		-0.125
3/29	at West Genesee (14-3)	NY A Sec 3	97.7		L	4-	7		-0.175
4/01	at Ridley (18-2)	PA Centrl	96.5	4	L	6-	9		-0.250
4/04	at Penn Charter (13-11)	PA IAC	94.1		L	3-	8		-0.275
4/08	LASALLE COLLEGE HS (26-2)	PA Cathol	98.5	2	L	6-	8		-0.275
4/11	GREAT VALLEY (13-6)	PA Suburb	92.2		W	12-	6		0.075
4/14	at West Chester Rustin (6-13)	PA Suburb	87.0		W	15-	2		0.000
4/15	at Hempfield (11-11)	PA LL04	91.1		W	13-	2		0.150
4/18	UNIONVILLE (11-9)	PA Suburb	91.4		W	11-	2		0.075
4/22	WEST CHESTER HENDERSON (9-9)	PA Suburb	90.2		W	14-	4		0.050
4/24	at Bishop Shanahan (9-9)	PA Suburb	90.1		W	15-	3		0.075
4/26	vs. Haverford School # (15-6)	PA IAC	96.9	3	L	5-	6	2ot	-0.225
4/29	KENNETT (5-14)	PA DelVal	86.1		W	15-	3		0.000
5/06	at West Chester East (10-9)	PA Suburb	89.6		W	12-	5		0.075
5/08	at Conestoga (13-7)	PA Centrl	94.4	9	W	7-	4		0.225
5/12	AVON GROVE (9-6)	PA Suburb	91.0		W	8-	6		0.050
5/15	at Downingtown West (9-11)	PA Suburb	90.7		W	13-	3		0.150
# Neutral site			91.3						-0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Fort Collins Unified	5-	3	2	1		-1.36		0.54
3/25	A	Malvern Prep	3-	6	-3	-5	+	1.05	2.16
3/29	A	West Genesee	4-	7	-3	-3		0.90		0.12
4/01	A	Ridley	6-	9	-3	0	–	1.05	-2.53
4/04	A	Penn Charter	3-	8	-5	1	–––	1.05	-6.45
4/08	H	LaSalle College HS	6-	8	-2	1	–	-1.05	-2.90
4/11	H	Great Valley	12-	6	6	7		-1.05	-1.19
4/14	A	West Chester Rustin	15-	2	13	11		1.05	1.96
4/15	A	Hempfield	13-	2	11	4	+++	0.61		7.28
4/18	H	Unionville	11-	2	9	7	+	-1.05	2.45
4/22	H	West Chester Henderson	14-	4	10	8		-1.05	1.55
4/24	A	Bishop Shanahan	15-	3	12	7	++	1.05	4.86
4/26	N	Haverford School	5-	6	-1	-1		0.00	-0.12
4/29	H	Kennett	15-	3	12	13		-1.05	-1.31
5/06	A	West Chester East	12-	5	7	7		1.05	-0.21
5/08	A	Conestoga	7-	4	3	1	+	1.05	2.48
5/12	H	Avon Grove	8-	6	2	8	–––	-1.05	-6.29
5/15	A	Downingtown West	13-	3	10	4	++	1.05	5.53
									0.00	7.95

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	A	West Chester Rustin	15-	2	-1.96
4/15	A	Hempfield	13-	2	-1.00
4/22	H	West Chester Henderson	14-	4	0.00
4/24	A	Bishop Shanahan	15-	3	-2.00
4/29	H	Kennett	15-	3	1.31
5/15	A	Downingtown West	13-	3	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	139
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.43		Natl Power Rank	139
Natl SOS Rating	90.58		Natl SOS Rank	89
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1811
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	768
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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