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Dracut Middies (2-16)

Conference: Merrimack

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Dan O'Brien

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Woburn (8-10)	MA 1	89.8		L	8-	12		-0.150
4/01	at Andover HS (14-6)	MA 1	94.8	8	L	1-	19		0.000
4/04	at Lowell (14-7)	MA 1	93.2		L	6-	14		0.000
4/07	at Haverhill (7-10)	MA 1	89.7		L	6-	17		-0.150
4/09	CENTRAL CATHOLIC (13-8)	MA 2	92.8		L	8-	12		-0.100
4/14	at Billerica (17-5)	MA 1	96.4	4	L	2-	17		0.000
4/16	WILMINGTON (7-9)	MA 2	85.9		L	7-	8		-0.300
4/18	at Tewksbury Memorial (10-9)	MA 2	91.7		L	4-	14		-0.075
4/19	BURLINGTON (7-11)	MA 2	90.8		L	7-	12		-0.150
4/23	at Tyngsborough (9-9)	MA 3	91.0		L	5-	9		-0.100
4/26	at Lynnfield (14-3)	MA 3	90.1		L	6-	8		-0.225
4/30	GEORGETOWN (8-10)	MA 3	85.6		W	12-	7		0.200
5/02	LOWELL (14-7)	MA 1	93.2		L	7-	9		-0.050
5/07	HAVERHILL (7-10)	MA 1	89.7		L	8-	9		-0.200
5/12	vs. Chelmsford # (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		L	4-	17		-0.025
5/16	TEWKSBURY MEMORIAL (10-9)	MA 2	91.7		L	5-	11		-0.125
5/19	at Central Catholic (13-8)	MA 2	92.8		L	5-	12		-0.050
5/21	at Georgetown (8-10)	MA 3	85.6		W	12-	10		0.275
# Neutral site			84.5						-1.23

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Woburn	8-	12	-4	-4		1.09	-0.34
4/01	A	Andover HS	1-	19	-18	-15	–	1.09	-3.09
4/04	A	Lowell	6-	14	-8	-10		1.09	1.69
4/07	A	Haverhill	6-	17	-11	-4	–––	1.09	-6.50
4/09	H	Central Catholic	8-	12	-4	-6	+	-1.09	2.05
4/14	A	Billerica	2-	17	-15	-18	+	1.09	2.84
4/16	H	Wilmington	7-	8	-1	2	–	-1.09	-2.60
4/18	A	Tewksbury Memorial	4-	14	-10	-7	–	1.09	-3.20
4/19	H	Burlington	7-	12	-5	-4		-1.09	-0.93
4/23	A	Tyngsborough	5-	9	-4	-6		1.09	1.77
4/26	A	Lynnfield	6-	8	-2	-1		1.09	-0.67
4/30	H	Georgetown	12-	7	5	2	+	-1.09	3.47
5/02	H	Lowell	7-	9	-2	-8	++	-1.09	5.51
5/07	H	Haverhill	8-	9	-1	-2		-1.09	1.32
5/12	N	Chelmsford	4-	17	-13	-9	–	0.00	-3.82
5/16	H	Tewksbury Memorial	5-	11	-6	-5		-1.09	-1.38
5/19	A	Central Catholic	5-	12	-7	-8		1.09	1.23
5/21	A	Georgetown	12-	10	2	-1	+	1.09	2.65
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Andover HS	1-	19	3.09
4/07	A	Haverhill	6-	17	1.00
4/14	A	Billerica	2-	17	-2.84
4/18	A	Tewksbury Memorial	4-	14	0.00
5/12	N	Chelmsford	4-	17	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1394
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.55		Natl Power Rank	1394
Natl SOS Rating	75.14		Natl SOS Rank	951
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.23		Natl Quality Win Rank	2874
W-L Pct Rating	0.11		W-L Pct Rank	2574
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-16		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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