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Durham Riverside Pirates (5-16)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Jim Kirkley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (6-9)	NC 4A	80.9		W	8-	7	ot	0.150
3/11	at Apex (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	5-	17		-0.050
3/14	at Durham Jordan (10-9)	NC 4A	86.9		L	3-	4		-0.125
3/15	ANNAPOLIS AREA CHRISTN (7-10)	MD B MIAA	81.7		L	9-	10		-0.275
3/18	EAST CHAPEL HILL (18-5)	NC 4A	90.7	4	L	3-	7		-0.125
3/20	WILMINGTON LANEY (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	3-	4	2ot	-0.300
3/25	at Durham Academy (12-5)	NC Prvate	90.9		L	4-	8		0.000
3/27	GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (12-7)	NC 4A	86.8		L	10-	13		-0.225
4/02	at Bishop Sullivan (15-7)	VA 2 Tidewtr	86.6		L	6-	7		-0.075
4/04	at Williamsburg LC (10-4)	VA Indep	89.0		L	4-	9		-0.025
4/08	at Cardinal Gibbons (16-5)	NC 3A/2A	87.8	9	L	7-	9		-0.150
4/10	WESTERN GUILFORD (13-4)	NC 3A/2A	86.9		L	9-	11		-0.225
4/11	NORTHERN DURHAM (1-13)	NC 4A	73.2		W	10-	2		0.025
4/15	CHAPEL HILL (20-2)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	3-	11		-0.050
4/18	DURHAM JORDAN (10-9)	NC 4A	86.9		L	4-	6		-0.200
4/22	at East Chapel Hill (18-5)	NC 4A	90.7	4	L	3-	10		-0.075
4/24	at Broughton-Needham (7-8)	NC 4A	79.3		W	6-	1		0.175
4/25	HOLY CROSS-ST CATH (15-1)	CN NRHSAA	92.0		L	7-	11		-0.025
4/29	at Northern Durham (1-13)	NC 4A	73.2		W	7-	1		0.100
5/01	at Chapel Hill (20-2)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	8-	13		0.000
5/02	R.J. REYNOLDS (9-8)	NC 4A	80.0		W	8-	5		0.175
			87.3						-1.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	H	NorthWest Guilford	8-	7	1	4	–	-1.35	-2.69
3/11	A	Apex	5-	17	-12	-8	–	1.35	-3.76
3/14	A	Durham Jordan	3-	4	-1	-5	+	1.35	3.90
3/15	H	Annapolis Area Christn	9-	10	-1	1		-1.37		-1.77
3/18	H	East Chapel Hill	3-	7	-4	-5		-1.35	0.58
3/20	H	Wilmington Laney	3-	4	-1	2	–	-1.35	-2.92
3/25	A	Durham Academy	4-	8	-4	-11	+++	1.45		7.30
3/27	H	Greensboro Grimsley	10-	13	-3	-1	–	-1.35	-2.23
4/02	A	Bishop Sullivan	6-	7	-1	-7	+++	1.87		6.42
4/04	A	Williamsburg LC	4-	9	-5	-9	++	1.24		4.14
4/08	A	Cardinal Gibbons	7-	9	-2	-4		1.35	1.64
4/10	H	Western Guilford	9-	11	-2	-1		-1.35	-1.47
4/11	H	Northern Durham	10-	2	8	9		-1.35	-1.14
4/15	H	Chapel Hill	3-	11	-8	-8		-1.35	0.45
4/18	H	Durham Jordan	4-	6	-2	-2		-1.35	0.21
4/22	A	East Chapel Hill	3-	10	-7	-7		1.35	0.27
4/24	A	Broughton-Needham	6-	1	5	3		1.35	1.96
4/25	H	Holy Cross-St Cath	7-	11	-4	-9	++	-1.66		5.25
4/29	A	Northern Durham	7-	1	6	6		1.35	-0.45
5/01	A	Chapel Hill	8-	13	-5	-11	+++	1.35	6.14
5/02	H	R.J. Reynolds	8-	5	3	3		-1.35	-0.50
									0.00	21.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/11	A	Apex	5-	17	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	1700
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.10		Natl Power Rank	1700
Natl SOS Rating	81.40		Natl SOS Rank	436
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	2899
W-L Pct Rating	0.24		W-L Pct Rank	2263
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-16		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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