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East Aurora Blue Devils (13-8)

Region: NY C Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Derek Hoover

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	at Akron (8-11)	NY C Sec 6	81.0		W	7-	5		0.150
4/07	at Williamsville East (12-6)	NY B Sec 6	92.6	9	L	2-	6		-0.050
4/08	at Eden (11-8)	NY C Sec 6	85.0		W	9-	7		0.325
4/10	GOWANDA (11-9)	NY C Sec 6	83.8		L	5-	7		-0.325
4/22	IROQUOIS (9-9)	NY B Sec 6	89.5		W	6-	3		0.375
4/23	at Medina (9-8)	NY C Sec 6	83.3		W	10-	2		0.250
4/25	AKRON (8-11)	NY C Sec 6	81.0		W	9-	8		0.125
4/28	SALAMANCA (17-3)	NY C Sec 6	93.2	7	W	10-	9		0.425
4/29	SILVER CREEK (2-12)	NY C Sec 6	75.0		W	14-	5		0.000
5/01	at Salamanca (17-3)	NY C Sec 6	93.2	7	L	6-	14		-0.050
5/07	at Gowanda (11-9)	NY C Sec 6	83.8		W	8-	6		0.225
5/09	MEDINA (9-8)	NY C Sec 6	83.3		L	7-	9		-0.300
5/12	WEST SENECA WEST (5-13)	NY A Sec 6	83.7		L	5-	6	ot	-0.250
5/14	WILSON (1-15)	NY C Sec 6	76.9		W	18-	5		0.000
5/15	at Silver Creek (2-12)	NY C Sec 6	75.0		W	15-	8		0.000
5/19	WILLIAMSVILLE SOUTH (5-13)	NY B Sec 6	83.5		L	4-	8		-0.275
5/21	at Wilson (1-15)	NY C Sec 6	76.9		W	10-	7		0.050
5/22	EDEN (11-8)	NY C Sec 6	85.0		L	9-	11		-0.225
5/30	WILSON (1-15)	NY C Sec 6	76.9		W	10-	9		0.000
6/03	EDEN (11-8)	NY C Sec 6	85.0		W	6-	3		0.275
6/06	vs. Salamanca # (17-3)	NY C Sec 6	93.2	7	L	9-	18		-0.075
# Neutral site			80.9						0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	A	Akron	7-	5	2	4		0.89	-1.52
4/07	A	Williamsville East	2-	6	-4	-8	+	0.89	3.65
4/08	A	Eden	9-	7	2	-3	++	0.89	5.18
4/10	H	Gowanda	5-	7	-2	3	––	-0.89	-4.81
4/22	H	Iroquois	6-	3	3	-5	+++	-0.89	7.74
4/23	A	Medina	10-	2	8	0	+++	0.89	7.85
4/25	H	Akron	9-	8	1	5	––	-0.89	-4.30
4/28	H	Salamanca	10-	9	1	-7	+++	-0.89	7.56
4/29	H	Silver Creek	14-	5	9	12	–	-0.89	-2.61
5/01	A	Salamanca	6-	14	-8	-8		0.89	0.34
5/07	A	Gowanda	8-	6	2	1		0.89	0.97
5/09	H	Medina	7-	9	-2	2	–	-0.89	-3.93
5/12	H	West Seneca West	5-	6	-1	0		-0.89	-0.93
5/14	H	Wilson	18-	5	13	10	+	-0.89	3.37
5/15	A	Silver Creek	15-	8	7	10	–	0.89	-2.83
5/19	H	Williamsville South	4-	8	-4	1	––	-0.89	-4.51
5/21	A	Wilson	10-	7	3	8	––	0.89	-4.84
5/22	H	Eden	9-	11	-2	-1		-0.89	-0.60
5/30	H	Wilson	10-	9	1	10	–––	-0.89	-8.63
6/03	H	Eden	6-	3	3	-1	++	-0.89	4.40
6/06	N	Salamanca	9-	18	-9	-7		0.00	-1.55
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/14	H	Wilson	18-	5	-3.37
10-goal correction: -0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1268
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.57		Natl Power Rank	1268
Natl SOS Rating	68.90		Natl SOS Rank	1592
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	470
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	864
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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