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East Brunswick Bears (10-8)

Conference: GMC

Region: NJ Grp-IV

State: NJ

Coach: Matt Severino

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	RUTGERS PREP (16-5)	NJ Private	94.0		L	7-	10		-0.325
4/03	ST JOSEPH METUCHEN (18-4)	NJ Grp-A	97.7		L	7-	16		-0.125
4/05	at North Brunswick (9-10)	NJ Grp-III	90.0		W	10-	8		0.225
4/08	J.P. STEVENS (3-15)	NJ Grp-IV	72.4		W	16-	0		0.000
4/10	at Edison (7-11)	NJ Grp-IV	86.3		W	13-	7		0.150
4/12	at Jackson Liberty (2-14)	NJ Grp-I	69.1		W	20-	2		0.000
4/15	SOUTH BRUNSWICK (15-6)	NJ Grp-IV	96.8		L	4-	6		-0.200
4/17	at Old Bridge (7-12)	NJ Grp-IV	86.9		W	11-	4		0.225
4/22	at St Joseph Metuchen (18-4)	NJ Grp-A	97.7		L	3-	14		-0.050
4/24	IMMACULATA (12-5)	NJ Grp-B	97.7		L	3-	11		-0.075
4/29	at J.P. Stevens (3-15)	NJ Grp-IV	72.4		W	14-	1		0.000
5/01	EDISON (7-11)	NJ Grp-IV	86.3		W	15-	5		0.075
5/03	NORTH BRUNSWICK (9-10)	NJ Grp-III	90.0		W	8-	7		0.150
5/06	at South Brunswick (15-6)	NJ Grp-IV	96.8		L	7-	16		-0.125
5/08	OLD BRIDGE (7-12)	NJ Grp-IV	86.9		W	10-	3		0.150
5/12	OLD BRIDGE (7-12)	NJ Grp-IV	86.9		W	11-	3		0.150
5/14	at South Brunswick (15-6)	NJ Grp-IV	96.8		L	6-	15		-0.125
5/21	at Bridgewater-Raritan (10-13)	NJ Grp-IV	96.9		L	2-	7		-0.075
			81.0						0.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Rutgers Prep	7-	10	-3	3	–––	-1.37	-6.43
4/03	H	St Joseph Metuchen	7-	16	-9	-5	–	-1.37	-3.54
4/05	A	North Brunswick	10-	8	2	1		1.37	0.71
4/08	H	J.P. Stevens	16-	0	16	15		-1.37	0.78
4/10	A	Edison	13-	7	6	4		1.37	1.58
4/12	A	Jackson Liberty	20-	2	18	14	++	1.37	4.33
4/15	H	South Brunswick	4-	6	-2	-2		-1.37	0.26
4/17	A	Old Bridge	11-	4	7	1	++	1.37	5.53
4/22	A	St Joseph Metuchen	3-	14	-11	-8	–	1.37	-2.81
4/24	H	Immaculata	3-	11	-8	-7		-1.37	-1.01
4/29	A	J.P. Stevens	14-	1	13	12		1.37	0.52
5/01	H	Edison	15-	5	10	7	+	-1.37	2.84
5/03	H	North Brunswick	8-	7	1	4	–	-1.37	-3.02
5/06	A	South Brunswick	7-	16	-9	-5	––	1.37	-4.01
5/08	H	Old Bridge	10-	3	7	4	+	-1.37	2.79
5/12	H	Old Bridge	11-	3	8	4	+	-1.37	3.79
5/14	A	South Brunswick	6-	15	-9	-5	––	1.37	-4.01
5/21	A	Bridgewater-Raritan	2-	7	-5	-7		1.37	1.70
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	H	J.P. Stevens	16-	0	-0.78
4/12	A	Jackson Liberty	20-	2	-4.33
4/22	A	St Joseph Metuchen	3-	14	1.00
4/29	A	J.P. Stevens	14-	1	-0.52
5/01	H	Edison	15-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	477
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.54		Natl Power Rank	477
Natl SOS Rating	69.21		Natl SOS Rank	1553
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.03		Natl Quality Win Rank	1309
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1140
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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