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East Chapel Hill Wildcats (18-5)

Region: NC 4AState: NCCoach: Franklin Zirkle

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/29at Mount Tabor (6-8)NC 4A79.8W14- 4 0.075  
3/06GREEN HOPE (9-7)NC 4A84.1W17- 4 0.100  
3/10at Ragsdale-Jamestown (7-12)NC 3A/2A71.9W19- 4 0.000  
3/11at Western Alamance (10-8)NC 3A/2A78.8W15- 3 0.050  
3/14at Apex (20-4)NC 4A91.63L6- 9 -0.200  
3/18at Durham Riverside (5-16)NC 4A81.1W7- 3 0.125  
3/20RAVENSCROFT SCHOOL (5-11)NC Prvate83.0W14- 7 0.025  
3/27at Wilmington Laney (9-8)NC 4A82.7W8- 7 0.125  
3/29at Wilmington Hoggard (17-5)NC 4A88.08W11- 7 0.200  
4/04CHAPEL HILL (20-2)NC 4A95.21L6-17 -0.175  
4/07CENTENNIAL (8-9)GA Area0487.5W8- 4 0.150  
4/09GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (12-7)NC 4A86.8W11- 4 0.125  
4/11at Durham Jordan (10-9)NC 4A86.9W11-10ot0.225  
4/15at Northern Durham (1-13)NC 4A73.2W15- 3 0.000  
4/17CARRBORO (3-13)NC 3A/2A68.2W14- 0 0.000  
4/19vs. Cold Spring Harbor # (15-4)NY C Sec 896.4W7- 4 0.400  
4/22DURHAM RIVERSIDE (5-16)NC 4A81.1W10- 3 0.075  
4/25at Chapel Hill (20-2)NC 4A95.21L9-12 -0.125  
4/29DURHAM JORDAN (10-9)NC 4A86.9L5- 6 -0.350  
5/01NORTHERN DURHAM (1-13)NC 4A73.2W16- 1 0.000  
5/06WILMINGTON LANEY (9-8)NC 4A82.7W7- 1 0.050  
5/09at Charlotte Providence (13-6)NC 4A88.76W13- 9 0.225  
5/14at Chapel Hill (20-2)NC 4A95.21L9-13 -0.125  
# Neutral site 86.1     0.98  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/29AMount Tabor14-410   7       +1.35       3.24
3/06HGreen Hope17-413   6       +++-1.35       7.43
3/10ARagsdale-Jamestown19-415   14       1.35       0.87
3/11AWestern Alamance15-312   8       +1.35       3.95
3/14AApex6-9-3   -2       1.35       -0.69
3/18ADurham Riverside7-34   5       1.35       -0.58
3/20HRavenscroft School14-77   9       –-1.45       -2.19
3/27AWilmington Laney8-71   5       ––1.35       -4.16
3/29AWilmington Hoggard11-74   2       +1.35       2.48
4/04HChapel Hill6-17-11   -3       –––-1.35       -8.48
4/07HCentennial8-44   4       -1.10       -0.39
4/09HGreensboro Grimsley11-47   5       -1.35       1.84
4/11ADurham Jordan11-101   1       1.35       -0.02
4/15ANorthern Durham15-312   12       1.35       -0.38
4/17HCarrboro14-014   19       ––-1.35       -5.08
4/19NCold Spring Harbor7-43   -6       +++0.00       8.62
4/22HDurham Riverside10-37   7       -1.35       -0.27
4/25AChapel Hill9-12-3   -5       +1.35       2.21
4/29HDurham Jordan5-6-1   4       ––-1.35       -4.72
5/01HNorthern Durham16-115   15       -1.35       -0.07
5/06HWilmington Laney7-16   8       -1.35       -1.85
5/09ACharlotte Providence13-94   1       +1.35       3.08
5/14AChapel Hill9-13-4   -5       1.35       1.21
         0.006.03

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/29AMount Tabor14-40.00
3/06HGreen Hope17-4-3.00
3/10ARagsdale-Jamestown19-4-0.87
3/11AWestern Alamance15-3-2.00
4/04HChapel Hill6-171.00
4/15ANorthern Durham15-30.38
4/17HCarrboro14-05.08
5/01HNorthern Durham16-10.07
10-goal correction: 0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 642
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 90.75   Natl Power Rank 642
Natl SOS Rating 79.02   Natl SOS Rank 604
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.98   Natl Quality Win Rank 291
W-L Pct Rating 0.78   W-L Pct Rank 317
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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