| Region: MN Lake | State: MN | Coach: Ryan Ward |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/08 | MINNEAPOLIS INNER CITY (4-7) | MN Indep | 83.9 | | W | 14- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | EAGAN (8-7) | MN Lake | 88.1 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.100 |
4/17 | CHASKA (3-9) | MN Lake | 81.8 | | W | 9- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/22 | at Eastview (14-2) | MN Lake | 91.8 | 2 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.200 |
4/24 | BURNSVILLE (2-11) | MN Lake | 80.4 | | W | 12- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/29 | BLOOM KENNEDY (1-12) | MN Lake | 78.6 | | W | 21- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | at Apple Valley (7-6) | MN Lake | 86.8 | | W | 10- | 4 | | 0.125 |
5/02 | at Rosemount (4-8) | MN Lake | 83.6 | | W | 8- | 0 | | 0.075 |
5/03 | at Blake (17-0) | MN Private | 95.0 | 1 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.075 |
5/06 | LAKEVILLE (5-6) | MN Lake | 84.9 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | at Bloom Jefferson (12-3) | MN Lake | 91.0 | 3 | L | 4- | 7 | | -0.250 |
5/12 | at Chaska (3-9) | MN Lake | 81.8 | | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.025 |
5/14 | WAYZATA (4-8) | MN Classic | 86.0 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.075 |
5/16 | vs. Minnetonka # (11-3) | MN Classic | 90.5 | 5 | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.200 |
5/21 | vs. Eastview # (14-2) | MN Lake | 91.8 | 2 | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.250 |
5/23 | vs. Blake # (17-0) | MN Private | 95.0 | 1 | L | 5- | 16 | | -0.125 |
| # Neutral site | | 84.9 | | | | | | 0.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/08 | H | Minneapolis Inner City | 14- | 1 | 13 | 11 | + | -1.46 | 2.38 | |
4/14 | H | Eagan | 11- | 10 | 1 | 6 | –– | -1.46 | -4.56 | |
4/17 | H | Chaska | 9- | 3 | 6 | 12 | –– | -1.46 | -5.67 | |
4/22 | A | Eastview | 8- | 9 | -1 | -2 | | 1.46 | 0.94 | |
4/24 | H | Burnsville | 12- | 1 | 11 | 12 | | -1.46 | -1.08 | |
4/29 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 21- | 0 | 21 | 13 | +++ | -1.46 | 7.64 | |
5/01 | A | Apple Valley | 10- | 4 | 6 | 5 | | 1.46 | 0.82 | |
5/02 | A | Rosemount | 8- | 0 | 8 | 7 | | 1.46 | 0.80 | |
5/03 | A | Blake | 9- | 10 | -1 | -7 | ++ | 1.46 | 5.57 | |
5/06 | H | Lakeville | 10- | 3 | 7 | 10 | – | -1.46 | -3.45 | |
5/08 | A | Bloom Jefferson | 4- | 7 | -3 | 0 | – | 1.46 | -2.53 | |
5/12 | A | Chaska | 15- | 6 | 9 | 9 | | 1.46 | 0.24 | |
5/14 | H | Wayzata | 15- | 5 | 10 | 7 | + | -1.46 | 3.02 | |
5/16 | N | Minnetonka | 11- | 10 | 1 | 2 | | 0.00 | -0.71 | |
5/21 | N | Eastview | 9- | 7 | 2 | 0 | + | 0.00 | 2.48 | |
5/23 | N | Blake | 5- | 16 | -11 | -5 | –– | 0.00 | -5.89 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/08 | H | Minneapolis Inner City | 14- | 1 | -2.38 |
4/24 | H | Burnsville | 12- | 1 | 1.08 |
4/29 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 21- | 0 | -7.64 |
5/14 | H | Wayzata | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
5/23 | N | Blake | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.50 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 632 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.82 | | Natl Power Rank | 632 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 76.49 | | Natl SOS Rank | 825 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 998 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.75 | | W-L Pct Rank | 410 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.7 |
| 
