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Ellington Knights (6-10)

Conference: NWCIAC

Region: CT S

State: CT

Coach: Dave Giordano

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	at Lewis Mills-Burlington (8-9)	CT S	78.3		W	6-	1		0.225
4/10	MORGAN-CLINTON (9-7)	CT S	85.4		L	4-	5		-0.150
4/12	HOUSATONIC VALLEY (4-12)	CT S	78.5		W	4-	3		0.200
4/14	ROCKVILLE (4-12)	CT M	77.2		L	4-	7		-0.300
4/21	at Granby (12-7)	CT S	86.3		L	2-	12		-0.075
4/24	at Farmington (11-7)	CT M	88.4		L	5-	14		-0.025
4/26	AVON HS (12-6)	CT M	90.3		L	4-	16		-0.025
5/01	WILBUR CROSS (2-14)	CT M	73.0		W	15-	4		0.100
5/03	at Saint Bernard (6-10)	CT S	75.6		W	12-	6		0.175
5/06	at Northwest Catholic (12-7)	CT S	90.5		L	0-	14		0.000
5/08	EAST CATHOLIC (1-15)	CT S	71.9		W	10-	4		0.075
5/10	at South Windsor (8-10)	CT L	85.2		L	6-	13		-0.075
5/12	SUFFIELD HS (10-8)	CT S	85.6		L	6-	11		-0.125
5/13	NORWICH TECH (0-13)	CT S	63.6		W	10-	1		0.000
5/15	SOMERS (14-7)	CT S	89.7		L	6-	7		-0.050
5/23	at Tolland (7-10)	CT S	81.6		L	7-	9		-0.175
			75.5						-0.23

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	A	Lewis Mills-Burlington	6-	1	5	1	+	1.20	3.84
4/10	H	Morgan-Clinton	4-	5	-1	-4	+	-1.20	3.18
4/12	H	Housatonic Valley	4-	3	1	2		-1.20	-0.71
4/14	H	Rockville	4-	7	-3	2	––	-1.20	-5.01
4/21	A	Granby	2-	12	-10	-7	–	1.20	-3.22
4/24	A	Farmington	5-	14	-9	-9		1.20	0.05
4/26	H	Avon HS	4-	16	-12	-9	–	-1.20	-2.97
5/01	H	Wilbur Cross	15-	4	11	6	++	-1.20	4.84
5/03	A	Saint Bernard	12-	6	6	3	+	1.20	3.13
5/06	A	Northwest Catholic	0-	14	-14	-12	–	1.20	-2.38
5/08	H	East Catholic	10-	4	6	7		-1.20	-1.02
5/10	A	South Windsor	6-	13	-7	-7		1.20	-0.50
5/12	H	Suffield HS	6-	11	-5	-5		-1.20	-0.13
5/13	H	Norwich Tech	10-	1	9	16	–––	-1.20	-7.36
5/15	H	Somers	6-	7	-1	-8	+++	-1.20	6.75
5/23	A	Tolland	7-	9	-2	-3		1.20	1.50
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/21	A	Granby	2-	12	0.00
4/26	H	Avon HS	4-	16	2.00
5/01	H	Wilbur Cross	15-	4	-1.00
5/06	A	Northwest Catholic	0-	14	2.38
10-goal correction: 0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1860
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.51		Natl Power Rank	1860
Natl SOS Rating	59.69		Natl SOS Rank	2405
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.23		Natl Quality Win Rank	1884
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1844
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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