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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Elmira Falcons (0-14)

Region: OR WillimState: ORCoach: Dawn Tollen

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/17at Sheldon (12-5)OR Willim86.6L0-15 0.000  
3/19CHURCHILL (13-5)OR Willim88.2L0-16 0.000  
4/01at Thurston (14-5)OR Willim86.1L0-14 0.000  
4/04ROSEBURG (7-10)OR Willim79.2L1-15 0.000  
4/09NORTH EUGENE (3-14)OR Willim70.7L4- 5 -0.225  
4/10at Marist (8-7)OR Willim80.5L1-16 0.000  
4/16SOUTH EUGENE (4-12)OR Willim72.8L1- 6 -0.150  
4/17SHELDON (12-5)OR Willim86.6L0-14 0.000  
4/23at Churchill (13-5)OR Willim88.2L0-19 0.000  
4/25THURSTON (14-5)OR Willim86.1L0-17 0.000  
4/29at Roseburg (7-10)OR Willim79.2L2-19 0.000  
5/02at North Eugene (3-14)OR Willim70.7L2- 6 -0.175  
5/07MARIST (8-7)OR Willim80.5L7-17 0.000  
5/09at South Eugene (4-12)OR Willim72.8L3- 8 -0.100  
 75.8     -0.65  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/17ASheldon0-15-15   -18       +0.83       3.09
3/19HChurchill0-16-16   -19       +-0.83       2.59
4/01AThurston0-14-14   -17       +0.83       2.56
4/04HRoseburg1-15-14   -11       -0.83       -3.00
4/09HNorth Eugene4-5-1   -1       -0.83       0.42
4/10AMarist1-16-15   -12       0.83       -2.79
4/16HSouth Eugene1-6-5   -4       -0.83       -0.69
4/17HSheldon0-14-14   -16       +-0.83       2.42
4/23AChurchill0-19-19   -20       0.83       1.25
4/25HThurston0-17-17   -15       -0.83       -2.11
4/29ARoseburg2-19-17   -13       ––0.83       -4.34
5/02ANorth Eugene2-6-4   -3       0.83       -0.91
5/07HMarist7-17-10   -11       -0.83       0.54
5/09ASouth Eugene3-8-5   -6       0.83       0.98
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/17ASheldon0-15-3.09
3/19HChurchill0-16-2.59
4/01AThurston0-14-2.56
4/04HRoseburg1-153.00
4/10AMarist1-162.79
4/17HSheldon0-14-2.42
4/23AChurchill0-19-1.25
4/25HThurston0-172.11
4/29ARoseburg2-194.34
5/07HMarist7-17-0.54
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 66.   Natl CCR Rank 2714
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 65.90   Natl Power Rank 2714
Natl SOS Rating 60.04   Natl SOS Rank 2377
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.65   Natl Quality Win Rank 2527
W-L Pct Rating 0.00   W-L Pct Rank 2811
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 0-14   Ave Goal diff (all ) -11.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -15.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -6.3



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