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El Toro Chargers (12-6)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Seaview

State: CA

Coach: Greg Guy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/05	at Tesoro (13-4)	CA SoCoast	88.3	10	W	7-	6		0.175
3/06	NORTHWOOD-IRVINE (7-7)	CA Seaview	79.6		W	14-	6		0.000
3/08	at Corona Del Mar (16-4)	CA PaCoast	93.9	2	L	4-	10		-0.100
3/11	WOODBRIDGE (6-11)	CA Seaview	77.1		W	11-	2		0.000
3/12	at J Serra Catholic (14-5)	CA Trinity	90.8	5	L	5-	10		-0.225
3/13	at Huntington Beach (8-9)	CA Seaview	80.6		W	15-	4		0.050
3/18	at Foothill-Santa Ana (18-2)	CA Seaview	96.8	1	L	7-	16		-0.075
3/20	TRABUCO HILLS (2-16)	CA Seaview	70.9		W	17-	2		0.000
3/21	at Beckman (10-5)	CA PaCoast	87.9		W	11-	8		0.200
3/27	NEWPORT HARBOR (6-10)	CA Sunset	81.6		W	11-	5		0.075
4/01	at Northwood-Irvine (7-7)	CA Seaview	79.6		W	16-	3		0.050
4/03	at Woodbridge (6-11)	CA Seaview	77.1		W	13-	4		0.050
4/07	SAINT MARGARET'S (16-3)	CA Trinity	93.9	3	L	7-	10		-0.200
4/10	BELLEVUE (9-12)	WA 1 Div-1	87.2		W	15-	9		0.175
4/15	HUNTINGTON BEACH (8-9)	CA Seaview	80.6		W	16-	4		0.000
4/17	FOOTHILL-SANTA ANA (18-2)	CA Seaview	96.8	1	L	5-	10		-0.125
4/22	at Trabuco Hills (2-16)	CA Seaview	70.9		W	16-	4		0.000
4/28	at J Serra Catholic (14-5)	CA Trinity	90.8	5	L	7-	9		-0.225
			86.4						-0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/05	A	Tesoro	7-	6	1	3		1.20	-1.56
3/06	H	Northwood-Irvine	14-	6	8	10	–	-1.20	-2.39
3/08	A	Corona Del Mar	4-	10	-6	-6		1.20	0.36
3/11	H	Woodbridge	11-	2	9	11		-1.20	-1.53
3/12	A	J Serra Catholic	5-	10	-5	-1	––	1.20	-4.01
3/13	A	Huntington Beach	15-	4	11	8	+	1.20	3.43
3/18	A	Foothill-Santa Ana	7-	16	-9	-7		1.20	-1.74
3/20	H	Trabuco Hills	17-	2	15	14		-1.20	1.15
3/21	A	Beckman	11-	8	3	2		1.20	0.71
3/27	H	Newport Harbor	11-	5	6	7		-1.20	-0.76
4/01	A	Northwood-Irvine	16-	3	13	8	++	1.20	5.02
4/03	A	Woodbridge	13-	4	9	8		1.20	0.87
4/07	H	Saint Margaret's	7-	10	-3	-2		-1.20	-0.97
4/10	H	Bellevue	15-	9	6	3	+	-1.13		2.65
4/15	H	Huntington Beach	16-	4	12	10	+	-1.20	2.03
4/17	H	Foothill-Santa Ana	5-	10	-5	-5		-1.20	-0.15
4/22	A	Trabuco Hills	16-	4	12	11		1.20	0.56
4/28	A	J Serra Catholic	7-	9	-2	-1		1.20	-1.01
									0.00	2.65

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	A	Huntington Beach	15-	4	-1.00
3/20	H	Trabuco Hills	17-	2	-1.15
4/01	A	Northwood-Irvine	16-	3	-3.00
4/15	H	Huntington Beach	16-	4	-2.03
4/22	A	Trabuco Hills	16-	4	-0.56
10-goal correction: -0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	764
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.46		Natl Power Rank	764
Natl SOS Rating	79.50		Natl SOS Rank	568
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	1809
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	668
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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