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El Toro Chargers (12-6)

Conference: D1Region: CA SeaviewState: CACoach: Greg Guy

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/05at Tesoro (13-4)CA SoCoast88.310W7- 6 0.175  
3/06NORTHWOOD-IRVINE (7-7)CA Seaview79.6W14- 6 0.000  
3/08at Corona Del Mar (16-4)CA PaCoast93.92L4-10 -0.100  
3/11WOODBRIDGE (6-11)CA Seaview77.1W11- 2 0.000  
3/12at J Serra Catholic (14-5)CA Trinity90.85L5-10 -0.225  
3/13at Huntington Beach (8-9)CA Seaview80.6W15- 4 0.050  
3/18at Foothill-Santa Ana (18-2)CA Seaview96.81L7-16 -0.075  
3/20TRABUCO HILLS (2-16)CA Seaview70.9W17- 2 0.000  
3/21at Beckman (10-5)CA PaCoast87.9W11- 8 0.200  
3/27NEWPORT HARBOR (6-10)CA Sunset81.6W11- 5 0.075  
4/01at Northwood-Irvine (7-7)CA Seaview79.6W16- 3 0.050  
4/03at Woodbridge (6-11)CA Seaview77.1W13- 4 0.050  
4/07SAINT MARGARET'S (16-3)CA Trinity93.93L7-10 -0.200  
4/10BELLEVUE (9-12)WA 1 Div-187.2W15- 9 0.175  
4/15HUNTINGTON BEACH (8-9)CA Seaview80.6W16- 4 0.000  
4/17FOOTHILL-SANTA ANA (18-2)CA Seaview96.81L5-10 -0.125  
4/22at Trabuco Hills (2-16)CA Seaview70.9W16- 4 0.000  
4/28at J Serra Catholic (14-5)CA Trinity90.85L7- 9 -0.225  
 86.4     -0.18  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/05ATesoro7-61   3       1.20       -1.56
3/06HNorthwood-Irvine14-68   10       –-1.20       -2.39
3/08ACorona Del Mar4-10-6   -6       1.20       0.36
3/11HWoodbridge11-29   11       -1.20       -1.53
3/12AJ Serra Catholic5-10-5   -1       ––1.20       -4.01
3/13AHuntington Beach15-411   8       +1.20       3.43
3/18AFoothill-Santa Ana7-16-9   -7       1.20       -1.74
3/20HTrabuco Hills17-215   14       -1.20       1.15
3/21ABeckman11-83   2       1.20       0.71
3/27HNewport Harbor11-56   7       -1.20       -0.76
4/01ANorthwood-Irvine16-313   8       ++1.20       5.02
4/03AWoodbridge13-49   8       1.20       0.87
4/07HSaint Margaret's7-10-3   -2       -1.20       -0.97
4/10HBellevue15-96   3       +-1.13       2.65
4/15HHuntington Beach16-412   10       +-1.20       2.03
4/17HFoothill-Santa Ana5-10-5   -5       -1.20       -0.15
4/22ATrabuco Hills16-412   11       1.20       0.56
4/28AJ Serra Catholic7-9-2   -1       1.20       -1.01
         0.002.65

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/13AHuntington Beach15-4-1.00
3/20HTrabuco Hills17-2-1.15
4/01ANorthwood-Irvine16-3-3.00
4/15HHuntington Beach16-4-2.03
4/22ATrabuco Hills16-4-0.56
10-goal correction: -0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 90.   Natl CCR Rank 764
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.46   Natl Power Rank 764
Natl SOS Rating 79.50   Natl SOS Rank 568
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.18   Natl Quality Win Rank 1809
W-L Pct Rating 0.67   W-L Pct Rank 668
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 2-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.7



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