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Ephrata Moutaineers (8-12)

Region: PA LL04

State: PA

Coach: Mike Ream

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	at Hempfield (13-12)	PA LL04	92.2	5	L	0-	14		0.000
3/27	MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (19-9)	PA LL04	94.9	2	L	4-	14		0.000
3/29	at Dallastown (6-7)	PA York 1	81.5		L	8-	9		-0.300
4/03	at Red Lion (9-7)	PA York 1	85.2		L	3-	14		-0.150
4/05	WYOMISSING (8-10)	PA Berks	74.3		W	14-	5		0.000
4/08	at Central Dauphin (7-9)	PA Mid 1	82.6		W	8-	7		0.250
4/10	at Warwick (17-6)	PA LL04	93.4	3	L	5-	9		0.000
4/12	NORTHERN YORK BLACK (8-6)	PA Mid 1	86.2		L	4-	14		-0.200
4/15	ELIZABETHTOWN (3-11)	PA LL04	79.1		W	9-	5		0.175
4/17	LOWER DAUPHIN (6-10)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	12-	6		0.225
4/19	at Hershey (9-7)	PA Mid 1	84.4		L	7-	12		-0.175
4/22	COCALICO (9-6)	PA LL04	87.7		L	13-	14		-0.150
4/24	at Penn Manor (12-9)	PA LL04	89.5	8	L	5-	13		-0.075
4/26	vs. Conrad Weiser # (22-5)	PA Berks	86.2		W	13-	10		0.250
4/29	at Lancaster Cou Day (12-3)	PA LL04	87.1		W	11-	10	ot	0.350
5/01	CONESTOGA VALLEY (4-15)	PA LL04	82.1		W	12-	10		0.250
5/03	GOVERNOR MIFFLIN (11-8)	PA Berks	76.8		W	11-	3		0.075
5/06	at Lancaster Cou Day (12-3)	PA LL04	87.1		L	9-	13		-0.150
5/08	at Cocalico (9-6)	PA LL04	87.7		L	7-	14		-0.150
5/10	LAMPETER-STRASBURG (18-7)	PA LL04	91.7	6	L	6-	15		-0.025
# Neutral site			85.5						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	Hempfield	0-	14	-14	-12	–	0.28	-2.07
3/27	H	Manheim Township	4-	14	-10	-11		-0.28	0.78
3/29	A	Dallastown	8-	9	-1	2	–	0.28	-3.04
4/03	A	Red Lion	3-	14	-11	-4	–––	0.28	-6.71
4/05	H	Wyomissing	14-	5	9	10		-0.28	-1.27
4/08	A	Central Dauphin	8-	7	1	0		0.28	0.87
4/10	A	Warwick	5-	9	-4	-10	++	0.28	5.66
4/12	H	Northern York Black	4-	14	-10	-2	–––	-0.28	-7.53
4/15	H	Elizabethtown	9-	5	4	3		-0.28	1.48
4/17	H	Lower Dauphin	12-	6	6	1	++	-0.28	4.55
4/19	A	Hershey	7-	12	-5	-3	–	0.28	-2.28
4/22	H	Cocalico	13-	14	-1	-4	+	-0.28	2.76
4/24	A	Penn Manor	5-	13	-8	-7		0.28	-1.25
4/26	N	Conrad Weiser	13-	10	3	0	+	0.00	2.92
4/29	A	Lancaster Cou Day	11-	10	1	-4	++	0.28	5.03
5/01	H	Conestoga Valley	12-	10	2	0	+	-0.28	2.24
5/03	H	Governor Mifflin	11-	3	8	7		-0.28	0.65
5/06	A	Lancaster Cou Day	9-	13	-4	-4		0.28	0.03
5/08	A	Cocalico	7-	14	-7	-4	–	0.28	-2.68
5/10	H	Lampeter-Strasburg	6-	15	-9	-9		-0.28	-0.14
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	A	Hempfield	0-	14	2.07
3/27	H	Manheim Township	4-	14	-0.78
4/03	A	Red Lion	3-	14	1.00
4/12	H	Northern York Black	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1561
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.58		Natl Power Rank	1561
Natl SOS Rating	77.55		Natl SOS Rank	708
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1036
W-L Pct Rating	0.40		W-L Pct Rank	1797
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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