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Essex Junction Hornets (16-3)

Region: VT 1 NVAC

State: VT

Coach: Dean Corkum

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/11	at Liverpool (8-12)	NY A Sec 3	91.1		L	8-	12		-0.275
4/12	at Baldwinsville (12-8)	NY A Sec 3	94.8		L	4-	12		-0.200
4/16	BURLINGTON (0-14)	VT 1 NVAC	75.8		W	14-	1		0.000
4/18	at South Burlington (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	W	8-	7		0.100
4/24	at Bellows Free Academy (10-7)	VT 1 NVAC	86.1	5	W	7-	3		0.150
4/26	MT MANSFIELD UNION (10-8)	VT 1 NVAC	87.0	4	W	10-	5		0.150
4/29	at Middlebury Union (12-6)	VT 1 NVAC	88.2	3	W	9-	4		0.250
5/03	HANOVER (14-6)	NH 1	88.4		W	9-	8		0.100
5/05	at Champlain Valley (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	W	7-	5		0.225
5/10	at Burlington (0-14)	VT 1 NVAC	75.8		W	12-	2		0.000
5/14	SOUTH BURLINGTON (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	W	13-	6		0.075
5/16	at Mt Mansfield Union (10-8)	VT 1 NVAC	87.0	4	W	7-	1		0.175
5/21	MIDDLEBURY UNION (12-6)	VT 1 NVAC	88.2	3	L	9-	12		-0.275
5/24	at Woodstock (9-6)	VT 1 MVLI	84.6	6	W	10-	3		0.025
5/28	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	W	8-	7		0.200
5/30	BELLOWS FREE ACADEMY (10-7)	VT 1 NVAC	86.1	5	W	10-	7		0.125
6/07	SOUTH BURLINGTON (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	W	14-	2		0.075
6/11	BELLOWS FREE ACADEMY (10-7)	VT 1 NVAC	86.1	5	W	12-	4		0.125
6/16	vs. Champlain Valley # (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	W	7-	4		1.200
# Neutral site			88.4						2.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/11	A	Liverpool	8-	12	-4	1	––	0.82		-5.40
4/12	A	Baldwinsville	4-	12	-8	-2	––	0.82		-5.72
4/16	H	Burlington	14-	1	13	14		-0.57	-1.11
4/18	A	South Burlington	8-	7	1	6	––	0.57	-4.63
4/24	A	Bellows Free Academy	7-	3	4	4		0.57	-0.15
4/26	H	Mt Mansfield Union	10-	5	5	4		-0.57	0.62
4/29	A	Middlebury Union	9-	4	5	0	++	0.57	4.66
5/03	H	Hanover	9-	8	1	6	––	-0.71		-4.69
5/05	A	Champlain Valley	7-	5	2	1		0.57	0.95
5/10	A	Burlington	12-	2	10	13	–	0.57	-2.98
5/14	H	South Burlington	13-	6	7	7		-0.57	0.23
5/16	A	Mt Mansfield Union	7-	1	6	3	+	0.57	2.75
5/21	H	Middlebury Union	9-	12	-3	1	––	-0.57	-4.47
5/24	A	Woodstock	10-	3	7	9		0.57	-1.75
5/28	H	Champlain Valley	8-	7	1	2		-0.57	-1.18
5/30	H	Bellows Free Academy	10-	7	3	5	–	-0.57	-2.28
6/07	H	South Burlington	14-	2	12	7	++	-0.57	5.23
6/11	H	Bellows Free Academy	12-	4	8	5	+	-0.57	2.72
6/16	N	Champlain Valley	7-	4	3	2		0.00	1.38
									0.00	-15.81

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	H	Burlington	14-	1	1.11
5/10	A	Burlington	12-	2	2.98
6/07	H	South Burlington	14-	2	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	396
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.35		Natl Power Rank	396
Natl SOS Rating	83.55		Natl SOS Rank	317
Natl Quality Win Rating	2.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	33
W-L Pct Rating	0.84		W-L Pct Rank	171
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	9-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	13-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	4.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	15-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.7


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