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Eastlake Titans (7-12)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Metro

State: CA

Coach: Doug Murphy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	at Helix Charter (1-11)	CA Grosmnt	80.5		W	7-	4		0.225
2/29	SANTANA (10-10)	CA Grosmnt	86.4		L	8-	10		-0.150
3/04	at Carlsbad (10-8)	CA North	89.2		L	3-	11		-0.050
3/05	at Hilltop (3-13)	CA Metro	77.9		W	13-	6		0.125
3/10	FOOTHILLS CHRISTIAN (13-7)	CA Grosmnt	88.4		L	8-	13		-0.150
3/12	BONITA VISTA (4-12)	CA Metro	80.1		W	10-	6		0.200
3/14	PATRICK HENRY (14-5)	CA City	90.7		L	3-	12		-0.050
3/26	at Montgomery (0-14)	CA Metro	70.1		W	1-	0		0.000
3/27	vs. J Serra Catholic # (14-5)	CA Trinity	90.8		L	1-	16		-0.075
3/28	vs. Granite Hills # (12-8)	CA Grosmnt	90.2		L	2-	16		0.000
3/29	at Santana (10-10)	CA Grosmnt	86.4		L	6-	7		-0.125
4/07	at Scripps Ranch (9-10)	CA City	87.7		L	3-	6		-0.150
4/09	OTAY RANCH (16-4)	CA Metro	90.0		L	1-	13		-0.050
4/10	at La Jolla Cou Day (2-13)	CA Coastal	83.2		L	6-	7		-0.200
4/16	MONTGOMERY (0-14)	CA Metro	70.1		W	17-	2		0.000
4/23	HILLTOP (3-13)	CA Metro	77.9		W	10-	8		0.125
4/30	at Otay Ranch (16-4)	CA Metro	90.0		L	2-	11		-0.025
5/12	at Monte Vista-Spg Valley (4-15)	CA Grosmnt	82.8		L	9-	10		-0.225
5/14	at Bonita Vista (4-12)	CA Metro	80.1		W	7-	6		0.200
# Neutral site			76.5						-0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	A	Helix Charter	7-	4	3	1		0.20	1.60
2/29	H	Santana	8-	10	-2	-4	+	-0.20	2.11
3/04	A	Carlsbad	3-	11	-8	-8		0.20	-0.14
3/05	A	Hilltop	13-	6	7	5	+	0.20	2.15
3/10	H	Foothills Christian	8-	13	-5	-4		-0.20	-1.50
3/12	H	Bonita Vista	10-	6	4	2		-0.20	1.76
3/14	H	Patrick Henry	3-	12	-9	-8		-0.20	-0.60
3/27	N	J Serra Catholic	1-	16	-15	-7	–––	0.00		-7.66
3/28	N	Granite Hills	2-	16	-14	-10	–	0.00	-3.91
3/29	A	Santana	6-	7	-1	-5	+	0.20	3.51
4/07	A	Scripps Ranch	3-	6	-3	-4		0.20	1.33
4/09	H	Otay Ranch	1-	13	-12	-8	–	-0.20	-3.66
4/10	A	La Jolla Cou Day	6-	7	-1	-2		0.20	1.12
4/16	H	Montgomery	17-	2	15	14		-0.20	1.04
4/23	H	Hilltop	10-	8	2	5	–	-0.20	-3.25
4/30	A	Otay Ranch	2-	11	-9	-9		0.20	-0.26
5/12	A	Monte Vista-Spg Valley	9-	10	-1	-1		0.20	-0.45
5/14	A	Bonita Vista	7-	6	1	2		0.20	-0.84
									0.00	-7.66

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	N	J Serra Catholic	1-	16	5.00
3/28	N	Granite Hills	2-	16	4.00
4/09	H	Otay Ranch	1-	13	2.00
4/16	H	Montgomery	17-	2	-1.04
10-goal correction: 0.55

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1499
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.41		Natl Power Rank	1499
Natl SOS Rating	61.39		Natl SOS Rank	2289
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	2111
W-L Pct Rating	0.37		W-L Pct Rank	1885
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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