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Phillips Exeter Big Red (13-4)

Region: NE East-1

State: NH

Coach: Eric Bergofsky

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	NOBLE & GREENOUGH (14-3)	NE ISL	97.8	2	W	10-	9	+ot	0.300
4/05	at Cushing Academy (9-8)	NE East-1	91.1		W	13-	4		0.100
4/09	AVON OLD FARMS (11-5)	NE 1 West	96.1		W	12-	9		0.225
4/12	PORTSMOUTH ABBEY (14-2)	NE EIL	95.7		W	9-	3		0.125
4/14	THE GOVERNOR'S ACADEMY (17-0)	NE ISL	98.8	1	L	7-	8		-0.200
4/16	POMFRET (4-13)	NE East-1	88.1		W	14-	8		0.050
4/19	at Moses Brown (4-12)	NE East-1	90.8		W	9-	1		0.100
4/23	at Pingree (15-6)	NE EIL	94.1		W	11-	5		0.100
4/26	at Loomis Chaffee (11-5)	NE 1 West	96.4		W	7-	4		0.250
4/30	BREWSTER ACADEMY (14-2)	NE North	97.4	5	W	8-	7	2ot	0.250
5/03	TABOR ACADEMY (10-7)	NE East-1	95.6		W	8-	6		0.175
5/07	KIMBALL UNION (7-7)	NE East-1	93.1		L	3-	4		-0.350
5/10	at Northfield Mt Hermon (5-11)	NE 1 West	91.3		W	12-	7		0.125
5/14	at Winchendon (1-10)	NE East-2	82.2		W	15-	3		0.000
5/17	DEERFIELD (15-1)	NE 1 West	99.2		L	7-	10		-0.200
5/21	HOLDERNESS (12-3)	NE East-1	96.5	8	W	10-	5		0.225
5/23	at Phillips Andover (10-5)	NE East-1	95.7	10	L	7-	10		-0.275
			93.1						1.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Noble & Greenough	10-	9	1	-2	+	-0.34	2.75
4/05	A	Cushing Academy	13-	4	9	6	+	0.34	2.56
4/09	H	Avon Old Farms	12-	9	3	1		-0.33		1.67
4/12	H	Portsmouth Abbey	9-	3	6	5		-0.34	1.33
4/14	H	The Governor's Academy	7-	8	-1	-2		-0.34	1.20
4/16	H	Pomfret	14-	8	6	8		-0.34	-1.96
4/19	A	Moses Brown	9-	1	8	6		0.34	1.75
4/23	A	Pingree	11-	5	6	6		0.34	0.20
4/26	A	Loomis Chaffee	7-	4	3	0	+	0.33		2.61
4/30	H	Brewster Academy	8-	7	1	0		-0.34	1.11
5/03	H	Tabor Academy	8-	6	2	3		-0.34	-0.75
5/07	H	Kimball Union	3-	4	-1	4	––	-0.34	-5.26
5/10	A	Northfield Mt Hermon	12-	7	5	5		0.33		-0.47
5/14	A	Winchendon	15-	3	12	15	–	0.34	-3.07
5/17	H	Deerfield	7-	10	-3	-2		-0.33		-1.31
5/21	H	Holderness	10-	5	5	1	++	-0.34	4.15
5/23	A	Phillips Andover	7-	10	-3	1	––	0.34	-4.01
									0.00	2.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/14	A	Winchendon	15-	3	3.07
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	119
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.13		Natl Power Rank	116
Natl SOS Rating	93.80		Natl SOS Rank	42
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	238
W-L Pct Rating	0.76		W-L Pct Rank	366
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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