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Fairport Red Raiders (9-9)

Region: NY A Sec 5State: NYCoach: Mike Torelli

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Inside the Ratings & Rankings, Northeast, 3/30 to 4/03

This week's Inside the Ratings and Rankings for the Northeast region features looks at how the teams from St. Joseph's Prep (PA), Lampeter-Strasburg (PA), West Genesee (NY), and Fairport (NY) are faring.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/05PITTSFORD (9-9)NY A Sec 592.310W10- 4 0.125  
4/08WEBSTER THOMAS (14-5)NY A Sec 595.64W12- 8 0.225  
4/10RUSH-HENRIETTA (3-14)NY A Sec 587.2W18-11 0.025  
4/15CANANDAIGUA (23-1)NY A Sec 599.11L4- 6 -0.200  
4/17PENN YAN (14-8)NY C Sec 595.16W10- 7 0.250  
4/22HILTON (8-9)NY A Sec 589.6W12- 9 0.075  
4/24IRONDEQUOIT (17-3)NY A Sec 597.82L4-11 -0.200  
4/29WEBSTER SCHROEDER (9-9)NY A Sec 594.77L4-13 -0.250  
5/01CHURCHVILLE-CHILI (10-7)NY A Sec 591.3W20- 7 0.100  
5/06PENFIELD (17-2)NY A Sec 597.73L5-11 -0.175  
5/08at Pittsford (9-9)NY A Sec 592.310W10- 5 0.200  
5/13at Webster Thomas (14-5)NY A Sec 595.64L7- 8 -0.200  
5/15at Rush-Henrietta (3-14)NY A Sec 587.2W19- 6 0.100  
5/17at Penfield (17-2)NY A Sec 597.73L2-10 -0.100  
5/20at Irondequoit (17-3)NY A Sec 597.82L3-15 -0.125  
5/22at Webster Schroeder (9-9)NY A Sec 594.77L6- 8 -0.175  
5/27CHURCHVILLE-CHILI (10-7)NY A Sec 591.3W11- 5 0.100  
5/30at Irondequoit (17-3)NY A Sec 597.82L8-10 -0.125  
 94.0     -0.35  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/05HPittsford10-46   5       -1.49       1.26
4/08HWebster Thomas12-84   1       +-1.49       3.23
4/10HRush-Henrietta18-117   9       -1.49       -1.64
4/15HCanandaigua4-6-2   -2       -1.49       0.42
4/17HPenn Yan10-73   0       +-1.49       3.38
4/22HHilton12-93   7       -1.49       -3.66
4/24HIrondequoit4-11-7   -2       ––-1.49       -4.81
4/29HWebster Schroeder4-13-9   0       –––-1.49       -9.17
5/01HChurchville-Chili20-713   6       +++-1.49       6.80
5/06HPenfield5-11-6   -3       -1.49       -2.77
5/08APittsford10-55   2       +1.49       3.23
5/13AWebster Thomas7-8-1   -2       1.49       1.21
5/15ARush-Henrietta19-613   6       +++1.49       7.34
5/17APenfield2-10-8   -6       1.49       -1.79
5/20AIrondequoit3-15-12   -5       –––1.49       -6.83
5/22AWebster Schroeder6-8-2   -3       1.49       0.81
5/27HChurchville-Chili11-56   6       -1.49       -0.20
5/30AIrondequoit8-10-2   -5       +1.49       3.17
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
5/01HChurchville-Chili20-7-3.00
5/15ARush-Henrietta19-6-3.00
5/20AIrondequoit3-152.00
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 93.   Natl CCR Rank 393
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 93.53   Natl Power Rank 393
Natl SOS Rating 95.82   Natl SOS Rank 20
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.35   Natl Quality Win Rank 2105
W-L Pct Rating 0.50   W-L Pct Rank 1364
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 9-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-7   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-9   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.7



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