| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Barry Ellison |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | H | Washington-Lee | 7- | 2 | 5 | 3 | + | -1.02 | 2.22 | |
3/14 | H | Trinity-Meadow View | 8- | 7 | 1 | 1 | | -1.26 | | 0.05 |
3/26 | A | J.E.B. Stuart | 12- | 3 | 9 | 8 | | 1.02 | 0.83 | |
3/28 | H | Oakton | 4- | 15 | -11 | -9 | | -1.02 | -1.53 | |
4/01 | H | South County | 6- | 5 | 1 | -3 | ++ | -1.02 | 4.20 | |
4/04 | H | Westfield | 2- | 12 | -10 | -9 | | -1.02 | -0.66 | |
4/10 | H | Chantilly | 2- | 16 | -14 | -14 | | -1.02 | -0.17 | |
4/14 | H | Heritage-Leesburg | 4- | 11 | -7 | 0 | ––– | -1.27 | | -6.69 |
4/18 | A | Herndon | 4- | 10 | -6 | -2 | –– | 1.02 | -4.38 | |
4/25 | A | Robinson | 3- | 16 | -13 | -10 | – | 1.02 | -2.56 | |
4/28 | H | Centreville | 9- | 10 | -1 | 1 | – | -1.02 | -2.48 | |
5/01 | A | Oakton | 5- | 12 | -7 | -12 | ++ | 1.02 | 4.52 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -6.64 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/28 | H | Oakton | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/04 | H | Westfield | 2- | 12 | 0.00 |
4/10 | H | Chantilly | 2- | 16 | 0.17 |
4/25 | A | Robinson | 3- | 16 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.35 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 85. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1280 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 85.89 | | Natl Power Rank | 1280 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.62 | | Natl SOS Rank | 362 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.00 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1331 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.33 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2026 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -10.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -7.0 |
|
