| Region: MD 32 North | State: MD | Coach: Ryan Arist |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/22 | at Century (12-6) | MD 21 West | 93.8 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.200 |
3/28 | HAMMOND (3-12) | MD 32 South | 81.7 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/29 | JOPPATOWNE (13-4) | MD 21 South | 90.2 | | W | 14- | 1 | | 0.050 |
3/29 | DULANEY (18-2) | MD 43 South | 97.8 | 1 | L | 5- | 14 | | -0.175 |
4/02 | NORTH HARFORD (3-12) | MD 32 North | 86.6 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/11 | CM WRIGHT (11-6) | MD 43 South | 94.0 | | W | 8- | 7 | 3ot | 0.175 |
4/12 | at Mount Hebron (5-9) | MD 32 South | 86.5 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.050 |
4/14 | at River Hill (7-7) | MD 32 South | 91.3 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.150 |
4/16 | BEL AIR (6-6) | MD 32 North | 91.6 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.100 |
4/18 | at North Harford (3-12) | MD 32 North | 86.6 | | W | 16- | 8 | | 0.050 |
4/25 | HEREFORD (15-2) | MD 32 North | 97.2 | 3 | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.200 |
4/30 | at CM Wright (11-6) | MD 43 South | 94.0 | | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.275 |
5/02 | BEL AIR (6-6) | MD 32 North | 91.6 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.100 |
5/03 | at Howard (9-8) | MD 32 South | 88.5 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.125 |
5/12 | BEL AIR (6-6) | MD 32 North | 91.6 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.100 |
5/14 | at Hereford (15-2) | MD 32 North | 97.2 | 3 | L | 5- | 13 | | -0.150 |
| | 87.1 | | | | | | 0.30 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | A | Century | 10- | 6 | 4 | 2 | | 0.93 | 1.97 | |
3/28 | H | Hammond | 15- | 3 | 12 | 13 | | -0.93 | -1.42 | |
3/29 | H | Joppatowne | 14- | 1 | 13 | 8 | ++ | -0.93 | 4.73 | |
3/29 | H | Dulaney | 5- | 14 | -9 | -3 | ––– | -0.93 | -6.24 | |
4/02 | H | North Harford | 18- | 5 | 13 | 10 | + | -0.93 | 3.27 | |
4/11 | H | CM Wright | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | | -0.93 | -1.57 | |
4/12 | A | Mount Hebron | 14- | 6 | 8 | 8 | | 0.93 | -0.03 | |
4/14 | A | River Hill | 12- | 6 | 6 | 4 | + | 0.93 | 2.38 | |
4/16 | H | Bel Air | 9- | 6 | 3 | 6 | – | -0.93 | -2.56 | |
4/18 | A | North Harford | 16- | 8 | 8 | 8 | | 0.93 | 0.13 | |
4/25 | H | Hereford | 8- | 10 | -2 | -2 | | -0.93 | 0.24 | |
4/30 | A | CM Wright | 8- | 10 | -2 | 1 | – | 0.93 | -2.71 | |
5/02 | H | Bel Air | 14- | 8 | 6 | 6 | | -0.93 | 0.44 | |
5/03 | A | Howard | 12- | 6 | 6 | 5 | | 0.93 | 0.83 | |
5/12 | H | Bel Air | 13- | 3 | 10 | 6 | ++ | -0.93 | 4.44 | |
5/14 | A | Hereford | 5- | 13 | -8 | -4 | – | 0.93 | -3.90 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/28 | H | Hammond | 15- | 3 | 1.42 |
3/29 | H | Joppatowne | 14- | 1 | -3.00 |
4/02 | H | North Harford | 18- | 5 | -3.27 |
5/12 | H | Bel Air | 13- | 3 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.30 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 95. | | Natl CCR Rank | 236 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 95.07 | | Natl Power Rank | 236 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 80.55 | | Natl SOS Rank | 492 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.30 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 861 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.75 | | W-L Pct Rank | 405 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.7 |
|
