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Falmouth Academy Mariners (6-8)

Region: NE SENE

State: MA

Coach: Mike Earley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/12	at Hyde-Woodstock (12-8)	NE SENE	84.6		L	4-	14		-0.150
4/14	LEXINGTON CHRISTIAN (6-7)	NE EIL	82.4		W	11-	5		0.250
4/16	at Cape Cod Academy (11-5)	MA 3	88.0		L	7-	9		-0.075
4/18	ST ANDREW'S (2-9)	NE SENE	76.4		W	10-	5		0.125
4/23	HYDE-WOODSTOCK (12-8)	NE SENE	84.6		L	7-	8	2ot	-0.150
4/25	PORTSMOUTH ABBEY (14-2)	NE EIL	95.7		L	4-	15		0.000
4/26	at St Thomas More (3-7)	NE SENE	78.0		W	17-	10		0.175
4/30	at St Andrew's (2-9)	NE SENE	76.4		W	14-	5		0.150
5/02	ROCKY HILL (8-5)	NE SENE	83.4		W	9-	6		0.250
5/07	at Rocky Hill (8-5)	NE SENE	83.4		L	11-	15		-0.225
5/10	ST THOMAS MORE (3-7)	NE SENE	78.0		L	5-	11		-0.350
5/13	CAPE COD ACADEMY (11-5)	MA 3	88.0		L	8-	11		-0.125
5/14	at Marianapolis Prep (4-10)	NE SENE	77.2		W	15-	10		0.150
5/16	at Rocky Hill (8-5)	NE SENE	83.4		L	12-	17		-0.225
			77.8						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/12	A	Hyde-Woodstock	4-	14	-10	-4	––	0.34	-5.73
4/14	H	Lexington Christian	11-	5	6	0	++	-0.34	5.61
4/16	A	Cape Cod Academy	7-	9	-2	-7	++	0.72		4.89
4/18	H	St Andrew's	10-	5	5	5		-0.34	0.26
4/23	H	Hyde-Woodstock	7-	8	-1	-4	+	-0.34	2.59
4/25	H	Portsmouth Abbey	4-	15	-11	-14	+	-0.34	3.01
4/26	A	St Thomas More	17-	10	7	3	+	0.34	3.73
4/30	A	St Andrew's	14-	5	9	4	++	0.34	4.95
5/02	H	Rocky Hill	9-	6	3	0	+	-0.34	2.87
5/07	A	Rocky Hill	11-	15	-4	-1	–	0.34	-3.44
5/10	H	St Thomas More	5-	11	-6	4	–––	-0.34	-9.95
5/13	H	Cape Cod Academy	8-	11	-3	-5	+	-0.72		2.46
5/14	A	Marianapolis Prep	15-	10	5	4		0.34	0.54
5/16	A	Rocky Hill	12-	17	-5	-1	––	0.34	-4.44
									0.00	7.35

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	A	Hyde-Woodstock	4-	14	0.00
4/25	H	Portsmouth Abbey	4-	15	-3.01
10-goal correction: -0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1599
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.86		Natl Power Rank	1599
Natl SOS Rating	62.92		Natl SOS Rank	2164
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1799
W-L Pct Rating	0.43		W-L Pct Rank	1669
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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