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Fayetteville-Manlius Hornets (15-5)

Conference: OSHLA1Region: NY A Sec 3State: NYCoach: Chris Kenneally

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27at Union-Endicott (4-15)NY A Sec 483.3W13- 2 0.000  
4/04at West Genesee (21-3)NY A Sec 399.81L5- 8 -0.150  
4/07at Liverpool (8-12)NY A Sec 391.1W15- 5 0.100  
4/09CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (15-4)NY A Sec 396.48W9- 5 0.175  
4/11at Baldwinsville (12-8)NY A Sec 394.8W15-10 0.225  
4/14UTICA PROCTOR (0-18)NY A Sec 366.4W24- 2 0.000  
4/16at Oswego (8-10)NY A Sec 390.3W16- 5 0.125  
4/18AUBURN (17-4)NY A Sec 396.57L6- 8 -0.350  
4/23at Central Square (11-8)NY A Sec 392.3W8- 6 0.175  
4/25LIVERPOOL (8-12)NY A Sec 391.1W11- 2 0.050  
4/30at Rome Free Academy (5-13)NY A Sec 386.1W20- 4 0.000  
5/01at Henninger (4-13)NY A Sec 386.1W15- 4 0.000  
5/05at East Syracuse-Minoa (11-9)NY B Sec 394.1W12- 6 0.200  
5/07BALDWINSVILLE (12-8)NY A Sec 394.8W12- 3 0.150  
5/09at Cicero-North Syracuse (15-4)NY A Sec 396.48L7- 8ot-0.250  
5/13WEST GENESEE (21-3)NY A Sec 399.81L5-12 -0.225  
5/16at Corcoran (11-8)NY A Sec 392.9W10- 9 0.150  
5/20NOTTINGHAM (3-15)NY B Sec 383.1W17- 3 0.000  
5/30CORCORAN (11-8)NY A Sec 392.9W12-11 0.100  
6/03vs. West Genesee # (21-3)NY A Sec 399.81L6- 9 -0.200  
# Neutral site 90.9     0.28  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27AUnion-Endicott13-211   13       1.08       -1.65
4/04AWest Genesee5-8-3   -4       1.08       0.53
4/07ALiverpool15-510   6       ++1.08       4.30
4/09HCicero-North Syracuse9-54   3       -1.08       1.46
4/11ABaldwinsville15-105   1       +1.08       3.64
4/14HUtica Proctor24-222   29       –––-1.08       -7.41
4/16AOswego16-511   5       ++1.08       5.56
4/18HAuburn6-8-2   4       –––-1.08       -6.02
4/23ACentral Square8-62   3       1.08       -1.06
4/25HLiverpool11-29   8       -1.08       1.14
4/30ARome Free Academy20-416   10       ++1.08       5.74
5/01AHenninger15-411   12       1.08       -0.61
5/05AEast Syracuse-Minoa12-66   2       +1.08       3.91
5/07HBaldwinsville12-39   4       ++-1.08       5.49
5/09ACicero-North Syracuse7-8-1   0       1.08       -1.38
5/13HWest Genesee5-12-7   -1       ––-1.08       -5.63
5/16ACorcoran10-91   4       –1.08       -2.76
5/20HNottingham17-314   15       -1.08       -1.44
5/30HCorcoran12-111   6       ––-1.08       -4.91
6/03NWest Genesee6-9-3   -2       0.00       -0.55
         0.00-1.65

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27AUnion-Endicott13-21.65
4/07ALiverpool15-50.00
4/14HUtica Proctor24-27.41
4/16AOswego16-5-1.00
4/30ARome Free Academy20-4-5.74
5/01AHenninger15-40.61
5/20HNottingham17-31.44
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 111
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 97.02   Natl Power Rank 108
Natl SOS Rating 89.13   Natl SOS Rank 125
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.28   Natl Quality Win Rank 889
W-L Pct Rating 0.75   W-L Pct Rank 423
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.0



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