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Fallbrook Warriors (4-16)

Conference: D1Region: CA NorthState: CACoach: Al Schoffstall

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/04at Foothills Christian (13-7)CA Grosmnt88.4L8-10 -0.225  
3/07at San Marcos (8-11)CA North87.4L11-12ot-0.200  
3/14SCRIPPS RANCH (9-10)CA City87.7L7- 8 -0.225  
3/20at San Dieguito (6-15)CA Coastal86.0L5- 8 -0.250  
3/27vs. Foothill # (16-6)CA EastBay92.5L3-15 -0.025  
3/28at Westview (11-7)CA North90.3L5-12 -0.075  
3/29vs. San Dieguito # (6-15)CA Coastal86.0L4- 6 -0.250  
4/01CARLSBAD (10-8)CA North89.2L5-11 -0.125  
4/04WESTVIEW (11-7)CA North90.3L8-15 -0.100  
4/11at Otay Ranch (16-4)CA Metro90.0L4-12 -0.100  
4/15MOUNT CARMEL (6-10)CA North86.8L3-10 -0.225  
4/18RANCHO BERNARDO (9-8)CA North91.38L2-17 0.000  
4/22at Poway (13-4)CA North94.73L2-15 0.000  
4/25SAN MARCOS (8-11)CA North87.4W6- 5 0.300  
4/29TORREY PINES (13-6)CA North93.45L3-16 0.000  
5/02MONTGOMERY (0-14)CA Metro70.1W18- 2 0.000  
5/03BONITA VISTA (4-12)CA Metro80.1W13- 7 0.125  
5/06LA COSTA CANYON (19-3)CA North97.81L1-15 0.000  
5/09at Carlsbad (10-8)CA North89.2L9-10 -0.125  
5/13SANTANA (10-10)CA Grosmnt86.4W9- 8ot0.275  
# Neutral site 81.7     -1.23  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/04AFoothills Christian8-10-2   -1       0.20       -0.83
3/07ASan Marcos11-12-1   -2       0.20       1.20
3/14HScripps Ranch7-8-1   -1       -0.20       0.20
3/20ASan Dieguito5-8-3   0       –0.20       -2.94
3/27NFoothill3-15-12   -9       –0.00       -3.35
3/28AWestview5-12-7   -7       0.20       -0.36
3/29NSan Dieguito4-6-2   0       –0.00       -2.14
4/01HCarlsbad5-11-6   -5       -0.20       -1.27
4/04HWestview8-15-7   -6       -0.20       -0.75
4/11AOtay Ranch4-12-8   -6       0.20       -2.00
4/15HMount Carmel3-10-7   -1       ––-0.20       -5.89
4/18HRancho Bernardo2-17-15   -11       ––-0.20       -4.09
4/22APoway2-15-13   -16       +0.20       2.68
4/25HSan Marcos6-51   -2       +-0.20       2.80
4/29HTorrey Pines3-16-13   -13       -0.20       0.49
5/02HMontgomery18-216   17       -0.20       -0.69
5/03HBonita Vista13-76   5       -0.20       1.03
5/06HLa Costa Canyon1-15-14   -20       +++-0.20       6.07
5/09ACarlsbad9-10-1   -5       ++0.20       4.13
5/13HSantana9-81   -1       +-0.20       2.38
         0.00-3.35

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27NFoothill3-152.00
4/18HRancho Bernardo2-174.09
4/22APoway2-15-2.68
4/29HTorrey Pines3-16-0.49
5/02HMontgomery18-20.69
5/06HLa Costa Canyon1-15-6.07
10-goal correction: -0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 84.   Natl CCR Rank 1452
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 83.86   Natl Power Rank 1452
Natl SOS Rating 70.50   Natl SOS Rank 1424
Natl Quality Win Rating -1.23   Natl Quality Win Rank 2873
W-L Pct Rating 0.20   W-L Pct Rank 2351
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-16   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -13.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -13.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-12   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -4.7



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