| Region: FL 2B Centrl | State: FL | Coach: Josh Covelli |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/04 | at Sandalwood (3-9) | FL 2B Centrl | 69.0 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
2/12 | LAWTON CHILES (11-4) | FL 1B Centrl | 80.8 | | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.275 |
2/15 | at Stanton Prep (9-5) | FL 2B Centrl | 81.8 | | L | 7- | 8 | ot | -0.175 |
2/19 | at Paxon (4-8) | FL 2B Centrl | 72.5 | | W | 8- | 2 | | 0.150 |
3/07 | at Menendez (2-10) | FL 3B Centrl | 77.4 | | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.275 |
3/08 | PAXON (4-8) | FL 2B Centrl | 72.5 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.075 |
3/11 | at Flagler Palm Coast (2-13) | FL 4B Centrl | 76.9 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.300 |
3/13 | at Mandarin (2-10) | FL 2B Centrl | 63.9 | | W | 13- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | EPISCOPAL JACKSONVILLE (10-7) | FL 2B Centrl | 87.3 | | L | 7- | 16 | | -0.125 |
3/21 | BARTRAM TRAIL (12-6) | FL 3B Centrl | 84.3 | | L | 10- | 14 | | -0.225 |
3/26 | WOLFSON (1-3) | FL No-East | 69.5 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/27 | FLEMING ISLAND (5-7) | FL 3B Centrl | 79.5 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.225 |
4/01 | vs. Bolles # (11-6) | FL 2B Centrl | 88.5 | 10 | L | 7- | 20 | | -0.025 |
| # Neutral site | | 74.0 | | | | | | 0.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/04 | A | Sandalwood | 15- | 2 | 13 | 10 | + | 1.48 | 3.47 | |
2/12 | H | Lawton Chiles | 5- | 6 | -1 | 1 | – | -1.48 | -2.07 | |
2/15 | A | Stanton Prep | 7- | 8 | -1 | -3 | | 1.48 | 1.59 | |
2/19 | A | Paxon | 8- | 2 | 6 | 4 | | 1.48 | 1.55 | |
3/07 | A | Menendez | 7- | 4 | 3 | -1 | + | 1.48 | 3.62 | |
3/08 | H | Paxon | 12- | 4 | 8 | 7 | | -1.48 | 0.58 | |
3/11 | A | Flagler Palm Coast | 10- | 7 | 3 | -2 | ++ | 1.48 | 4.65 | |
3/13 | A | Mandarin | 13- | 1 | 12 | 14 | – | 1.48 | -2.03 | |
3/20 | H | Episcopal Jacksonville | 7- | 16 | -9 | -5 | – | -1.48 | -3.97 | |
3/21 | H | Bartram Trail | 10- | 14 | -4 | -1 | – | -1.48 | -3.39 | |
3/26 | H | Wolfson | 12- | 2 | 10 | 12 | – | -1.03 | | -2.42 |
3/27 | H | Fleming Island | 11- | 10 | 1 | 1 | | -1.48 | 0.35 | |
4/01 | N | Bolles | 7- | 20 | -13 | -9 | –– | 0.00 | -4.36 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -2.42 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/04 | A | Sandalwood | 15- | 2 | -3.47 |
3/13 | A | Mandarin | 13- | 1 | 2.03 |
3/26 | H | Wolfson | 12- | 2 | 2.42 |
4/01 | N | Bolles | 7- | 20 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.31 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 81. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1709 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 80.92 | | Natl Power Rank | 1709 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 56.77 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2568 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 994 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.62 | | W-L Pct Rank | 871 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
| 
