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Fort Collins Unified Vipers (11-4)

Region: CO Foothil

State: CO

Coach: Carey Smith

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/18	at St Paul's (6-10)	MD A MIAA	94.4		W	8-	5		0.275
3/20	at Downingtown East (10-6)	PA Suburb	95.3		L	3-	5		-0.225
3/28	HERITAGE (6-9)	CO Contl	90.2		W	13-	5		0.050
4/01	at Monarch (9-7)	CO Foothil	88.4		W	13-	2		0.050
4/03	CHATFIELD (12-3)	CO Foothil	91.3	10	W	15-	1		0.000
4/05	GOLDEN (11-5)	CO Foothil	89.6		W	10-	0		0.000
4/11	REGIS JESUIT (11-4)	CO Contl	95.8	3	W	7-	6	ot	0.250
4/15	GREEN MOUNTAIN (7-9)	CO Foothil	83.4		W	15-	1		0.000
4/18	vs. Cherry Creek # (13-3)	CO Centenn	96.8	2	L	4-	7		-0.175
4/21	COLUMBINE (9-7)	CO Foothil	89.5		W	11-	2		0.000
4/23	at Kent Denver (12-0)	CO South	98.8	1	L	0-	6		-0.075
4/24	vs. Evergreen # (7-8)	CO Foothil	84.9		W	14-	0		0.000
4/26	SAINT IGNATIUS PREP (19-1)	CA Indep	98.4		L	5-	6		-0.200
4/30	DOUGLAS COUNTY (11-6)	CO Contl	94.1	6	W	11-	8		0.150
5/07	LEWIS PALMER (10-5)	CO South	88.0		W	12-	2		0.000
5/10	ARAPAHOE (13-4)	CO Contl	95.3	4		-
# Neutral site			89.3						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/18	A	St Paul's	8-	5	3	-1	+	1.52		3.78
3/20	A	Downingtown East	3-	5	-2	-1		1.29		-0.61
3/28	H	Heritage	13-	5	8	8		-1.60	-0.37
4/01	A	Monarch	13-	2	11	8	+	1.60	2.71
4/03	H	Chatfield	15-	1	14	10	+	-1.60	3.64
4/05	H	Golden	10-	0	10	12		-1.60	-1.60
4/11	H	Regis Jesuit	7-	6	1	0		-1.60	0.97
4/15	H	Green Mountain	15-	1	14	17	–	-1.60	-3.22
4/18	N	Cherry Creek	4-	7	-3	-3		0.00	0.18
4/21	H	Columbine	11-	2	9	11		-1.60	-1.90
4/23	A	Kent Denver	0-	6	-6	-7		1.60	0.76
4/24	N	Evergreen	14-	0	14	12		0.00	1.67
4/26	H	Saint Ignatius Prep	5-	6	-1	-2		-1.07		1.17
4/30	H	Douglas County	11-	8	3	4		-1.60	-0.87
5/07	H	Lewis Palmer	12-	2	10	12		-1.60	-1.97
									0.00	4.34

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Monarch	13-	2	-1.00
4/03	H	Chatfield	15-	1	-3.64
4/05	H	Golden	10-	0	1.60
4/15	H	Green Mountain	15-	1	3.22
4/24	N	Evergreen	14-	0	-1.67
5/07	H	Lewis Palmer	12-	2	1.97
10-goal correction: 0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	145
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.16		Natl Power Rank	145
Natl SOS Rating	87.48		Natl SOS Rank	152
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1142
W-L Pct Rating	0.73		W-L Pct Rank	536
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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