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Forsyth Cou Day Furies (7-10)

Region: NC Prvate

State: NC

Coach: Mike Burnett

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/06	EASTERN GUILFORD (2-13)	NC 3A/2A	67.7		W	12-	6		0.000
3/11	REAGAN (6-12)	NC 3A/2A	70.2		W	12-	3		0.000
3/14	CHARLOTTE LATIN (16-7)	NC Prvate	92.8	3	L	4-	15		-0.075
3/17	R.J. REYNOLDS (9-8)	NC 4A	80.0		W	6-	3		0.150
3/20	DURHAM ACADEMY (12-5)	NC Prvate	90.9	4	L	2-	14		-0.125
4/01	at Charlotte Cou Day (21-7)	NC Prvate	95.2	1	L	3-	12		0.000
4/08	PROVIDENCE DAY (13-6)	NC Prvate	93.5	2	L	4-	12		-0.050
4/11	CANNON SCHOOL (7-9)	NC Prvate	84.0	7	L	2-	5		-0.225
4/12	DECATUR (12-5)	GA Area02	91.8		L	5-	9		-0.050
4/15	at Greensboro Day (6-8)	NC Prvate	81.6		L	7-	8		-0.225
4/18	at Wilmington Ashley (4-11)	NC 4A	77.2		W	11-	4		0.150
4/19	at Cape Fear Academy (8-8)	NC Prvate	84.8	6	W	9-	8	2ot	0.350
4/21	CARY ACADEMY (9-8)	NC Prvate	83.0	9	W	10-	8		0.200
4/25	CHRIST SCHOOL (10-5)	NC Prvate	90.6	5	L	8-	9		-0.125
4/26	WILLIAMSBURG LC (10-4)	VA Indep	89.0		L	2-	12		-0.125
4/29	GREENSBORO DAY (6-8)	NC Prvate	81.6		W	8-	4		0.200
5/01	WESTERN GUILFORD (13-4)	NC 3A/2A	86.9		L	8-	10		-0.175
			85.4						-0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	H	Eastern Guilford	12-	6	6	16	–––	-1.45		10.36
3/11	H	Reagan	12-	3	9	14	––	-1.45		-4.83
3/14	H	Charlotte Latin	4-	15	-11	-7	––	-1.56	-4.46
3/17	H	R.J. Reynolds	6-	3	3	4		-1.45		-1.08
3/20	H	Durham Academy	2-	14	-12	-5	–––	-1.56	-6.85
4/01	A	Charlotte Cou Day	3-	12	-9	-13	++	1.56	4.01
4/08	H	Providence Day	4-	12	-8	-8		-1.56	0.10
4/11	H	Cannon School	2-	5	-3	-1	–	-1.56	-2.50
4/12	H	Decatur	5-	9	-4	-8	++	-1.20		4.02
4/15	A	Greensboro Day	7-	8	-1	-1		1.56	-0.37
4/18	A	Wilmington Ashley	11-	4	7	4	+	1.45		3.06
4/19	A	Cape Fear Academy	9-	8	1	-4	++	1.56	5.29
4/21	H	Cary Academy	10-	8	2	2		-1.56	-0.37
4/25	H	Christ School	8-	9	-1	-5	+	-1.56	3.62
4/26	H	Williamsburg LC	2-	12	-10	-5	––	-1.34		-4.92
4/29	H	Greensboro Day	8-	4	4	2		-1.56	1.52
5/01	H	Western Guilford	8-	10	-2	-3		-1.45		0.90
									0.00	-13.22

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	H	Charlotte Latin	4-	15	1.00
3/20	H	Durham Academy	2-	14	2.00
4/26	H	Williamsburg LC	2-	12	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1569
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.58		Natl Power Rank	1569
Natl SOS Rating	77.43		Natl SOS Rank	720
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.13		Natl Quality Win Rank	1697
W-L Pct Rating	0.41		W-L Pct Rank	1749
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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