Francis Parker Lancers (4-12)

Conference: D1Region: CA CoastalState: CACoach: Dave Herman

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/05SANTANA (10-10)CA Grosmnt86.4W9- 4 0.250  
3/07GROSSMONT (14-2)CA Grosmnt91.86L4-11 -0.075  
3/11at San Dieguito (6-15)CA Coastal86.0L7-13 -0.300  
3/13at San Marcos (8-11)CA North87.4L6- 7 -0.250  
3/20at Valhalla (9-10)CA Grosmnt88.3L4-10 -0.175  
4/02at Scripps Ranch (9-10)CA City87.7L2- 7 -0.250  
4/05at Patrick Henry (14-5)CA City90.7L8-10 -0.150  
4/10BISHOP'S SCHOOL (12-6)CA Coastal91.87L6-13 -0.050  
4/15LA JOLLA COU DAY (2-13)CA Coastal83.2W5- 2 0.175  
4/17SANTA FE CHRISTIAN (15-5)CA Coastal94.54L3-15 0.000  
4/22at Canyon Crest (12-9)CA Coastal90.4L6- 7 -0.125  
4/25SAN DIEGUITO (6-15)CA Coastal86.0W10- 5 0.200  
4/29at Bishop's School (12-6)CA Coastal91.87L1- 6 -0.025  
5/01at La Jolla Cou Day (2-13)CA Coastal83.2W5- 4+ot0.200  
5/03at Santa Fe Christian (15-5)CA Coastal94.54L2-17 0.000  
5/09CANYON CREST (12-9)CA Coastal90.4L5-11 -0.125  
 82.9     -0.70  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/05HSantana9-45   0       ++-0.20       4.59
3/07HGrossmont4-11-7   -7       -0.20       0.30
3/11ASan Dieguito7-13-6   2       –––0.20       -7.73
3/13ASan Marcos6-7-1   0       0.20       -0.59
3/20AValhalla4-10-6   -3       –0.20       -3.14
4/02AScripps Ranch2-7-5   0       ––0.20       -5.19
4/05APatrick Henry8-10-2   -4       +0.20       2.27
4/10HBishop's School6-13-7   -8       -0.20       1.26
4/15HLa Jolla Cou Day5-23   3       -0.20       0.20
4/17HSanta Fe Christian3-15-12   -13       -0.20       1.45
4/22ACanyon Crest6-7-1   -5       ++0.20       4.01
4/25HSan Dieguito10-55   2       +-0.20       2.87
4/29ABishop's School1-6-5   -9       +0.20       3.65
5/01ALa Jolla Cou Day5-41   2       0.20       -1.40
5/03ASanta Fe Christian2-17-15   -14       0.20       -1.16
5/09HCanyon Crest5-11-6   -5       -0.20       -1.39
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/17HSanta Fe Christian3-15-1.45
5/03ASanta Fe Christian2-171.16
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 86.   Natl CCR Rank 1175
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.24   Natl Power Rank 1175
Natl SOS Rating 72.28   Natl SOS Rank 1244
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.70   Natl Quality Win Rank 2555
W-L Pct Rating 0.25   W-L Pct Rank 2208
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -13.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -9.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-11   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -6.7



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