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Forest Park Bruins (15-3)

Region: VA CardState: VACoach: Bud Sichler

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27OSBOURN PARK (13-5)VA Cedar89.23W12- 8 0.175  
4/02BATTLEFIELD (9-6)VA Cedar85.19W16- 5 0.050  
4/05at Patrick Henry (11-7)VA WesVal87.18W9- 6 0.225  
4/10at Brooke Point (8-10)VA Comw84.910W13- 9 0.225  
4/14MOUNTAIN VIEW (3-12)VA Comw79.6W14- 5 0.000  
4/15HAMBURG (21-2)NY B Sec 698.6L0-15 -0.100  
4/19at Annandale (15-4)VA Patriot93.4W9- 6 0.325  
4/24WOODBRIDGE (7-8)VA Card79.0W14- 5 0.000  
4/25at Hylton (7-7)VA Card77.1W16- 1 0.000  
4/30at Potomac-Dumfries (1-12)VA Card71.8W17- 1 0.000  
5/01at Gar-field (4-11)VA Card74.8W18- 0 0.000  
5/05FREEDOM-WOODBRIDGE (2-11)VA Card72.9W18- 1 0.000  
5/14vs. Gar-field # (4-11)VA Card74.8W14- 1 0.000  
5/15vs. Woodbridge # (7-8)VA Card79.0W17- 2 0.000  
5/21vs. Brooke Point # (8-10)VA Comw84.910W9- 8ot0.175  
5/23at Loudoun Valley (15-6)VA Cedar88.44W10- 9 0.225  
5/28vs. Albemarle # (18-3)VA Comw92.51L9-11 -0.200  
5/31at Western Albemarle (14-6)VA Jeffsn91.2L2-14 -0.200  
# Neutral site 83.6     0.90  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HOsbourn Park12-84   3       -1.84       1.05
4/02HBattlefield16-511   8       +-1.84       2.91
4/05APatrick Henry9-63   1       +1.84       2.36
4/10ABrooke Point13-94   1       +1.84       2.65
4/14HMountain View14-59   10       -1.84       -1.39
4/15HHamburg0-15-15   -6       –––-1.36       -9.16
4/19AAnnandale9-63   -3       +++1.43       6.47
4/24HWoodbridge14-59   13       ––-1.84       -4.25
4/25AHylton16-115   12       +1.84       3.41
4/30APotomac-Dumfries17-116   19       –1.84       -3.38
5/01AGar-field18-018   14       +1.84       3.56
5/05HFreedom-Woodbridge18-117   22       ––-1.84       -4.93
5/14NGar-field14-113   16       –0.00       -3.27
5/15NWoodbridge17-215   11       +0.00       3.58
5/21NBrooke Point9-81   3       –0.00       -2.19
5/23ALoudoun Valley10-91   1       1.84       0.18
5/28NAlbemarle9-11-2   -2       0.00       -0.30
5/31AWestern Albemarle2-14-12   -2       –––1.67       -10.44
         0.00-13.13

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02HBattlefield16-5-1.00
4/15HHamburg0-155.00
4/25AHylton16-1-3.41
4/30APotomac-Dumfries17-13.38
5/01AGar-field18-0-3.56
5/05HFreedom-Woodbridge18-14.93
5/14NGar-field14-13.27
5/15NWoodbridge17-2-3.58
5/31AWestern Albemarle2-142.00
10-goal correction: 0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 569
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.37   Natl Power Rank 569
Natl SOS Rating 74.07   Natl SOS Rank 1059
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.90   Natl Quality Win Rank 295
W-L Pct Rating 0.83   W-L Pct Rank 194
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 12-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 7.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -4.3



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