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Forest Park Bruins (15-3)

Region: VA Card

State: VA

Coach: Bud Sichler

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	OSBOURN PARK (13-5)	VA Cedar	89.2	3	W	12-	8		0.175
4/02	BATTLEFIELD (9-6)	VA Cedar	85.1	9	W	16-	5		0.050
4/05	at Patrick Henry (11-7)	VA WesVal	87.1	8	W	9-	6		0.225
4/10	at Brooke Point (8-10)	VA Comw	84.9	10	W	13-	9		0.225
4/14	MOUNTAIN VIEW (3-12)	VA Comw	79.6		W	14-	5		0.000
4/15	HAMBURG (21-2)	NY B Sec 6	98.6		L	0-	15		-0.100
4/19	at Annandale (15-4)	VA Patriot	93.4		W	9-	6		0.325
4/24	WOODBRIDGE (7-8)	VA Card	79.0		W	14-	5		0.000
4/25	at Hylton (7-7)	VA Card	77.1		W	16-	1		0.000
4/30	at Potomac-Dumfries (1-12)	VA Card	71.8		W	17-	1		0.000
5/01	at Gar-field (4-11)	VA Card	74.8		W	18-	0		0.000
5/05	FREEDOM-WOODBRIDGE (2-11)	VA Card	72.9		W	18-	1		0.000
5/14	vs. Gar-field # (4-11)	VA Card	74.8		W	14-	1		0.000
5/15	vs. Woodbridge # (7-8)	VA Card	79.0		W	17-	2		0.000
5/21	vs. Brooke Point # (8-10)	VA Comw	84.9	10	W	9-	8	ot	0.175
5/23	at Loudoun Valley (15-6)	VA Cedar	88.4	4	W	10-	9		0.225
5/28	vs. Albemarle # (18-3)	VA Comw	92.5	1	L	9-	11		-0.200
5/31	at Western Albemarle (14-6)	VA Jeffsn	91.2		L	2-	14		-0.200
# Neutral site			83.6						0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Osbourn Park	12-	8	4	3		-1.84	1.05
4/02	H	Battlefield	16-	5	11	8	+	-1.84	2.91
4/05	A	Patrick Henry	9-	6	3	1	+	1.84	2.36
4/10	A	Brooke Point	13-	9	4	1	+	1.84	2.65
4/14	H	Mountain View	14-	5	9	10		-1.84	-1.39
4/15	H	Hamburg	0-	15	-15	-6	–––	-1.36		-9.16
4/19	A	Annandale	9-	6	3	-3	+++	1.43		6.47
4/24	H	Woodbridge	14-	5	9	13	––	-1.84	-4.25
4/25	A	Hylton	16-	1	15	12	+	1.84	3.41
4/30	A	Potomac-Dumfries	17-	1	16	19	–	1.84	-3.38
5/01	A	Gar-field	18-	0	18	14	+	1.84	3.56
5/05	H	Freedom-Woodbridge	18-	1	17	22	––	-1.84	-4.93
5/14	N	Gar-field	14-	1	13	16	–	0.00	-3.27
5/15	N	Woodbridge	17-	2	15	11	+	0.00	3.58
5/21	N	Brooke Point	9-	8	1	3	–	0.00	-2.19
5/23	A	Loudoun Valley	10-	9	1	1		1.84	0.18
5/28	N	Albemarle	9-	11	-2	-2		0.00	-0.30
5/31	A	Western Albemarle	2-	14	-12	-2	–––	1.67		10.44
									0.00	-13.13

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Battlefield	16-	5	-1.00
4/15	H	Hamburg	0-	15	5.00
4/25	A	Hylton	16-	1	-3.41
4/30	A	Potomac-Dumfries	17-	1	3.38
5/01	A	Gar-field	18-	0	-3.56
5/05	H	Freedom-Woodbridge	18-	1	4.93
5/14	N	Gar-field	14-	1	3.27
5/15	N	Woodbridge	17-	2	-3.58
5/31	A	Western Albemarle	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	569
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.37		Natl Power Rank	569
Natl SOS Rating	74.07		Natl SOS Rank	1059
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	295
W-L Pct Rating	0.83		W-L Pct Rank	194
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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