| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 1 | State: MA | Coach: Ed Moy |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/01 | at Braintree (8-10) | MA 1 | 91.6 | | L | 2- | 7 | | -0.150 |
4/03 | NEWTON NORTH (12-9) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 4- | 6 | | -0.125 |
4/07 | at Wellesley (18-5) | MA 2 | 94.4 | | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.025 |
4/09 | WEYMOUTH (10-9) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.150 |
4/11 | NATICK (4-15) | MA 2 | 86.7 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.200 |
4/14 | NEEDHAM (16-7) | MA 1 | 94.3 | | L | 2- | 7 | | -0.050 |
4/16 | at Dedham (0-15) | MA 3 | 75.8 | | W | 19- | 7 | | 0.050 |
4/24 | NEWTON SOUTH (4-16) | MA 1 | 89.5 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.225 |
4/26 | ALGONQUIN (13-7) | MA 2 | 91.1 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.175 |
4/29 | at Brookline (9-11) | MA 1 | 91.3 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.125 |
5/01 | BRAINTREE (8-10) | MA 1 | 91.6 | | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.200 |
5/05 | at Newton North (12-9) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 5- | 16 | | -0.075 |
5/07 | at Milton (4-14) | MA 2 | 87.6 | | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.225 |
5/09 | at Weymouth (10-9) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 5- | 15 | | -0.100 |
5/12 | NORWOOD (16-6) | MA 2 | 93.5 | | L | 11- | 15 | | -0.100 |
5/14 | vs. Needham # (16-7) | MA 1 | 94.3 | | L | 3- | 13 | | -0.025 |
5/19 | BROOKLINE (9-11) | MA 1 | 91.3 | | W | 4- | 3 | | 0.325 |
5/20 | at Walpole (21-1) | MA 2 | 96.5 | 3 | L | 3- | 17 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 85.6 | | | | | | -1.17 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/01 | A | Braintree | 2- | 7 | -5 | -4 | | 1.09 | -0.51 | |
4/03 | H | Newton North | 4- | 6 | -2 | -5 | + | -1.09 | 3.18 | |
4/07 | A | Wellesley | 4- | 12 | -8 | -9 | | 1.09 | 1.23 | |
4/09 | H | Weymouth | 4- | 12 | -8 | -4 | –– | -1.09 | -4.13 | |
4/11 | H | Natick | 8- | 7 | 1 | 2 | | -1.09 | -0.66 | |
4/14 | H | Needham | 2- | 7 | -5 | -8 | + | -1.09 | 3.28 | |
4/16 | A | Dedham | 19- | 7 | 12 | 8 | + | 1.09 | 3.76 | |
4/24 | H | Newton South | 7- | 8 | -1 | -1 | | -1.09 | -0.15 | |
4/26 | H | Algonquin | 6- | 7 | -1 | -3 | + | -1.17 | | 2.15 |
4/29 | A | Brookline | 6- | 9 | -3 | -5 | | 1.09 | 1.86 | |
5/01 | H | Braintree | 4- | 11 | -7 | -2 | –– | -1.09 | -4.70 | |
5/05 | A | Newton North | 5- | 16 | -11 | -7 | – | 1.09 | -3.64 | |
5/07 | A | Milton | 5- | 7 | -2 | -1 | | 1.09 | -0.69 | |
5/09 | A | Weymouth | 5- | 15 | -10 | -6 | – | 1.09 | -3.95 | |
5/12 | H | Norwood | 11- | 15 | -4 | -6 | + | -1.09 | 2.18 | |
5/14 | N | Needham | 3- | 13 | -10 | -9 | | 0.00 | -0.63 | |
5/19 | H | Brookline | 4- | 3 | 1 | -3 | + | -1.09 | 3.68 | |
5/20 | A | Walpole | 3- | 17 | -14 | -14 | | 1.09 | -0.13 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 2.15 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/16 | A | Dedham | 19- | 7 | -2.00 |
5/05 | A | Newton North | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
5/09 | A | Weymouth | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
5/14 | N | Needham | 3- | 13 | 0.00 |
5/20 | A | Walpole | 3- | 17 | 0.13 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.05 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 87. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1123 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 86.77 | | Natl Power Rank | 1123 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 77.58 | | Natl SOS Rank | 707 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -1.17 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2862 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.17 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2443 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 3-15 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -7.7 |
|
