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Frederick Cadets (11-5)

Region: MD 32 West

State: MD

Coach: Dave McGinnis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	at Catoctin (3-11)	MD 21 West	78.5		W	12-	6		0.025
3/31	BRUNSWICK (2-11)	MD 21 West	80.4		W	13-	4		0.075
4/02	at Owings Mills (6-9)	MD 21 North	87.1		W	9-	8		0.225
4/08	at Francis Scott Key (5-9)	MD 32 West	85.6		W	9-	8		0.200
4/10	at Walkersville (16-3)	MD 32 West	95.6	9	L	6-	11		-0.050
4/14	MIDDLETOWN (10-5)	MD 32 West	89.4		L	9-	11		-0.325
4/16	WINTERS MILL (10-8)	MD 32 West	91.8		W	6-	3		0.250
4/19	vs. Middletown # (10-5)	MD 32 West	89.4		L	5-	6		-0.300
4/19	vs. Tuscarora # (7-9)	MD 32 West	87.9		W	10-	5		0.225
4/22	at South Hagerstown (1-14)	MD 32 West	71.5		W	18-	0		0.000
4/26	at Thomas Johnson (6-10)	MD 43 North	87.3		W	12-	11	ot	0.250
4/29	TUSCARORA (7-9)	MD 32 West	87.9		L	6-	7		-0.300
4/30	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (2-11)	MD 32 West	75.2		W	11-	1		0.000
5/05	LINGANORE (3-9)	MD 43 North	86.3		W	9-	8		0.200
5/10	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (5-9)	MD 32 West	85.6		W	13-	6		0.150
5/13	WINTERS MILL (10-8)	MD 32 West	91.8		L	7-	8		-0.250
# Neutral site			81.6						0.37

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	Catoctin	12-	6	6	9	–	0.93	-2.51
3/31	H	Brunswick	13-	4	9	7		-0.93	1.56
4/02	A	Owings Mills	9-	8	1	1		0.93	0.32
4/08	A	Francis Scott Key	9-	8	1	2		0.93	-1.00
4/10	A	Walkersville	6-	11	-5	-8	+	0.93	2.90
4/14	H	Middletown	9-	11	-2	3	––	-0.93	-4.65
4/16	H	Winters Mill	6-	3	3	0	+	-0.93	3.41
4/19	N	Middletown	5-	6	-1	2	–	0.00	-2.72
4/19	N	Tuscarora	10-	5	5	1	+	0.00	3.78
4/22	A	South Hagerstown	18-	0	18	15	+	0.93	3.21
4/26	A	Thomas Johnson	12-	11	1	0		0.93	0.68
4/29	H	Tuscarora	6-	7	-1	2	–	-0.93	-3.15
4/30	H	North Hagerstown	11-	1	10	14	–	-0.93	-3.80
5/05	H	Linganore	9-	8	1	2		-0.93	-0.60
5/10	H	Francis Scott Key	13-	6	7	4	+	-0.93	3.14
5/13	H	Winters Mill	7-	8	-1	0		-0.93	-0.59
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/22	A	South Hagerstown	18-	0	-3.21
4/30	H	North Hagerstown	11-	1	3.80
10-goal correction: 0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	654
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.78		Natl Power Rank	654
Natl SOS Rating	70.07		Natl SOS Rank	1466
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.37		Natl Quality Win Rank	769
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	619
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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