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Frontier Falcons (13-6)

Region: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Chris Stack

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01SWEET HOME (10-9)NY B Sec 690.1W4- 2 0.125  
4/04at West Seneca East (12-9)NY B Sec 692.78W7- 1 0.225  
4/08AMHERST (13-5)NY B Sec 696.25W11- 9 0.275  
4/10at Orchard Park (19-3)NY A Sec 698.71L7-12 -0.050  
4/22NORTH TONAWANDA (3-11)NY A Sec 678.7W9- 2 0.000  
4/26at Newark (7-12)NY B Sec 581.1W15- 3 0.000  
4/28LOCKPORT (7-12)NY A Sec 684.3W15- 3 0.025  
5/02CLARENCE (12-8)NY A Sec 691.610W12- 7 0.150  
5/05at Lancaster (8-7)NY A Sec 688.6W14- 4 0.125  
5/07JAMESTOWN (2-15)NY A Sec 675.2W15- 3 0.000  
5/09at Williamsville North (8-10)NY A Sec 688.4L6- 7 -0.375  
5/10at Pittsford (9-9)NY A Sec 592.3L3- 7 -0.300  
5/13at West Seneca West (5-13)NY A Sec 683.7W14- 3 0.050  
5/15NIAGARA WHEATFIELD (15-6)NY A Sec 696.73L11-13 -0.175  
5/17at Brockport Central (9-8)NY A Sec 587.9W8- 5 0.075  
5/19at Hamburg (21-2)NY B Sec 698.62L8-13 -0.075  
5/22at Williamsville East (12-6)NY B Sec 692.69W8- 5 0.200  
5/30LANCASTER (8-7)NY A Sec 688.6W13- 6 0.100  
6/03at Niagara Wheatfield (15-6)NY A Sec 696.73L9-14 -0.125  
 87.3     0.25  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01HSweet Home4-22   5       –-0.89       -3.33
4/04AWest Seneca East7-16   1       ++0.89       4.73
4/08HAmherst11-92   -1       +-0.89       2.98
4/10AOrchard Park7-12-5   -8       +0.89       3.06
4/22HNorth Tonawanda9-27   18       –––-0.89       -11.20
4/26ANewark15-312   13       1.19       -1.41
4/28HLockport15-312   9       +-0.89       2.83
5/02HClarence12-75   4       -0.89       0.61
5/05ALancaster14-410   5       ++0.89       5.37
5/07HJamestown15-312   19       –––-0.89       -7.18
5/09AWilliamsville North6-7-1   5       ––0.89       -5.72
5/10APittsford3-7-4   2       –––1.19       -6.24
5/13AWest Seneca West14-311   8       +0.89       3.34
5/15HNiagara Wheatfield11-13-2   -3       -0.89       0.80
5/17ABrockport Central8-53   7       –1.19       -3.61
5/19AHamburg8-13-5   -7       +0.89       2.39
5/22AWilliamsville East8-53   2       0.89       1.14
5/30HLancaster13-67   6       -0.89       0.59
6/03ANiagara Wheatfield9-14-5   -5       0.89       -0.41
         0.00-11.26

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/26ANewark15-31.41
4/28HLockport15-3-2.00
5/05ALancaster14-40.00
5/07HJamestown15-37.18
5/13AWest Seneca West14-3-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 96.   Natl CCR Rank 211
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.75   Natl Power Rank 211
Natl SOS Rating 81.49   Natl SOS Rank 424
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.25   Natl Quality Win Rank 947
W-L Pct Rating 0.68   W-L Pct Rank 649
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.7



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