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Gar-field Indians (4-11)

Region: VA Card

State: VA

Coach: Mike Ward

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	at Mountain View (3-12)	VA Comw	79.6		L	0-	6		0.000
3/17	at North Stafford (11-6)	VA Comw	87.6	7	L	1-	14		0.000
3/25	at Osbourn Park (13-5)	VA Cedar	89.2	3	L	2-	19		0.000
3/27	at Stonewall Jackson (4-9)	VA Cedar	78.1		L	2-	8		-0.050
3/28	at Battlefield (9-6)	VA Cedar	85.1	9	L	1-	13		0.000
3/31	BRIAR WOODS (7-6)	VA Dulles	78.9		L	2-	19		-0.200
4/03	POTOMAC-DUMFRIES (1-12)	VA Card	71.8		W	9-	3		0.075
4/17	FREEDOM-WOODBRIDGE (2-11)	VA Card	72.9		L	3-	4		-0.400
4/24	at Potomac-Dumfries (1-12)	VA Card	71.8		W	6-	4		0.175
4/30	FREEDOM-WOODBRIDGE (2-11)	VA Card	72.9		W	6-	2		0.100
5/01	FOREST PARK (15-3)	VA Card	91.4	2	L	0-	18		0.000
5/02	at Woodbridge (7-8)	VA Card	79.0		L	1-	6		-0.075
5/05	at Hylton (7-7)	VA Card	77.1		L	5-	7		-0.125
5/07	vs. Freedom-Woodbridge # (2-11)	VA Card	72.9		W	6-	3		0.150
5/14	vs. Forest Park # (15-3)	VA Card	91.4	2	L	1-	14		0.000
# Neutral site			79.2						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	A	Mountain View	0-	6	-6	-10	+	1.84	3.56
3/17	A	North Stafford	1-	14	-13	-15		1.84	1.60
3/25	A	Osbourn Park	2-	19	-17	-17		1.84	0.00
3/27	A	Stonewall Jackson	2-	8	-6	-8		1.84	1.93
3/28	A	Battlefield	1-	13	-12	-12		1.84	-0.14
3/31	H	Briar Woods	2-	19	-17	-2	–––	-1.67		14.59
4/03	H	Potomac-Dumfries	9-	3	6	7		-1.84	-0.78
4/17	H	Freedom-Woodbridge	3-	4	-1	6	–––	-1.84	-6.66
4/24	A	Potomac-Dumfries	6-	4	2	3		1.84	-1.11
4/30	H	Freedom-Woodbridge	6-	2	4	6		-1.84	-1.66
5/01	H	Forest Park	0-	18	-18	-14	–	-1.84	-3.56
5/02	A	Woodbridge	1-	6	-5	-7		1.84	1.69
5/05	A	Hylton	5-	7	-2	-5	+	1.84	2.69
5/07	N	Freedom-Woodbridge	6-	3	3	4		0.00	-0.82
5/14	N	Forest Park	1-	14	-13	-16	+	0.00	3.27
									0.00	-14.59

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	A	North Stafford	1-	14	-1.60
3/25	A	Osbourn Park	2-	19	0.00
3/28	A	Battlefield	1-	13	0.14
3/31	H	Briar Woods	2-	19	7.00
5/01	H	Forest Park	0-	18	3.56
5/14	N	Forest Park	1-	14	-3.27
10-goal correction: 0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	2297
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.79		Natl Power Rank	2297
Natl SOS Rating	66.37		Natl SOS Rank	1843
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	2081
W-L Pct Rating	0.27		W-L Pct Rank	2199
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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